Jake Allen has been pretty damn far from our worst player to start the year. We're allowing tons of high danger chances, which has led to Allen's expected 5 on 5 save percentage to be 31st of the 37 goalies with 100+ minutes at 5 on 5. In all situations, his expected save percentage is 38th of 43 goalies with 100+ minutes played. Only 3 goalies in the league have faced more high danger shots than Allen and one of those guys has an extra game played. That is basically the definition of hanging your goalie out to dry.
For the record, Allen has allowed zero goals from low danger areas. He has had a couple softies, but to say he's been the team's worst player is absurd. I have a hard time believing that you have watched the first 6 games of the year if you honestly believe that he has been the worst player on the team in 2018/19.
If you don't believe that and want to point to past play of Allen, then I'm not quite sure why you titled a new thread "Jake Allen 2018-19" instead of posting in either of the other two threads titled Jake Allen currently on the 1st page of this message board. Seems redundant.
Where do you get your goalie stats? Corsica?
Just curious, because some of the sources don't always 100% agree on their shot classifications, and I prefer to talk apples to apples with people when I can.
I agree that Allen hasn't been the team's worst player (*cough* Bouwmeester *cough*), but I wouldn't say he's been helping the team.
As you pointed out, he has a 100% save percentage vs LDS per Corsica, but he's also ranked 22nd out of 25 qualifying goalies (min 200 minutes, all situations) in expected save percentage, 20th in MDS save percentage, 18th in HDS save percentage, and 23rd in goals saved above average (comparing league average save percentage to individual shot percentage for each of the shot danger types, then applying that difference to number of shots faced, and summing all the totals).
For those that prefer just looking at ES numbers, out of 18 qualified goalies with a minimum of 200 minutes, he's ranked 16th in expected save percentage, 14th in medium danger save percentage, 16th in high danger save percentage, and last in goals saved above average.
I'm not projecting anything for him based on a 5 game sample size, or even based on his numbers from last year. I just don't buy into the notion that he hasn't cost us some goals himself.
This is a bit of a tangent, but for those who are concerned about the rates that the Blues are giving up odd-man breaks and such, naturalstattrick tracks those for goalies.
According to them, Allen has faced the 10th most odd-man breaks/60 (out of 20 qualified at 200 minutes of 5v5) at 1.59 per 60 minutes. Smith has seen the most at 2.66/60, with the average at about 1.58 odd-man breaks/60.
With regards to rebounds, Allen has faced the 6th most out of 20 qualified at 4 rebounds/60 minutes at 5v5. Elliott has faced the most at 6.06 rebounds/60 minutes. Average is around 3.37 rebounds/60.
Far from great numbers, but I'll bet they are better than some would have guessed. At the very least, those two issues are clearly not the reason why Allen is facing so many high danger chances.
Where the defense has really been letting Allen down is average shot distance. Allen's 20th out of 20 in average shot distance faced at 29.52', with the average being around 36'. Not surprisingly he's also 20th out of 20 in high danger chances faced per 60 at 12.2, with the average being about 8.3-ish. All that confusion within the defensive zone are where the uncharacteristic number of high danger scoring chances are really coming from, not the odd-man breaks or the rebounds.