Yes that is totally fair. It's looking as if we will have at least one vaccine (if not multiple) ready for use by December. They might not be ready for mass deployment but I could see an advanced release to people like first responders, medical staff and pro athletes.
I could see the NHL starting training camps in November based on projected release of the vaccine.
As for the money aspect of it - there is no way the NHL will wait for fans to be able to return to the rink to resume play. That is at least a year away if not more. They will find other ways to make money, likely PPV and renegotiated TV contracts. Additionally, players will have to accept they will be making less over the next 12 - 24 months at least to account for lost revenue.
I am somewhat hopeful for a vaccine by Dec./Jan. But I think your statement is still pretty optimistic. They are starting to ramp up for production of at least 1,
IF it turns out to be successful. That will help a lot, again
IF it is successful. Those ifs are still
very big. There are about 2 dozen candidates in various stages of trials right now. They may all fail. Six months ago, the experts were saying a vaccine was
at least a year away. Now they are still saying it is
probably at least a year away.
Many drugs reach the stage the most advanced of these vaccines are at and then fail at the next step. This virus shows signs of being difficult to develop immunity to. We may never get a really good vaccine. We may end up with one that needs to be boosted every 2-3 months.
Yes, there are other possibilities. They depend on cooperative partners. Will the networks agree to renegotiate TV contracts? Will the players accept less money? They just negotiated a very player friendly new CBA that appears to guarantee them at least 80% of 2020 money. Will PPV provide that kind of revenue? I for 1 will not pay $100+ to watch games on TV.
My statement was not that this
will be the last hockey we see for a while. It was that it
might be. I stand by that. There is still so much that can go wrong.