I would bet the Oilers would give their 1st+another team's 2nd next year for Varly. Other team's around the league in need of a goalie would have payed that price too now that they know what Varly is capable of. For comparison sake, Schneider returned a 9th overall pick.
I'd say clear wins (no overpayment) for the Avs were:
-Winnik for 4th
-Galiardi, Winnik for McGinn
-Downie for Quincey
-Tanguay, Sarich for Jones, O'Brien.
I think at this point, teams would pay a fair amount more then what the Avs gave up for Varly.
A 25 year old goalie, looking like he's well on his way to being a Vezina finalist this year, and possibly even win the damn thing, who is also about to enter year 1 of a good 5 year contract. Oh and did I mention he is still only 25 years old?
If he comes Top 3 in Vezina votes this year, I'd argue he may be on of the Top 3 most valuable goalies in the league. If he wins the Vezina, he could very well be the most valuable goalie. He's the youngest starter in the league already(He and Bernier, with Price not far behind), signed to a longterm contract, and(in this potential scenario) a Vezina Winner already.
IMO that resumè puts him at the top of the league in Goalie value. At the very least it'd be Top 3 along with Price and Quick.
I think teams would give up a kings ransom for that Varly.
As for the list of clear wins via trade for the Avs. I would add the Varly trade for sure. I would also add the Liles for a 2nd trade to that list as well. Its funny that when the Avs made that trade, we were all generally pissed we didnt get more for him, but after he left here and went to Toronto his play never came close to how he played for us. Seems now like the Avs new he was about to hit that peak and a steep cliff was right there. The Leafs couldnt give him away for free this year.