StreetHawk
Registered User
- Sep 30, 2017
- 26,388
- 9,862
You have to attach names to the QBs. Because, each team will value each one differently.I have a Lions fan friend who is tight with one of the beat writers (I know which one but I'm not going to post it). My friend swears up and down that the Lions are absolutely not drafting a QB and that the chance to draft two defensive guys in R1 is too good to pass up.
Seattle obviously has the option to draft a QB or keep Geno. I would draft a QB because they're super unlikely to ever pick this high again in any reasonable conditions. If Atlanta and Carolina win again we'll go up as high as 6th. If they don't then there's too many hurdles to draft a QB. I think that leaves Houston, Seattle, Indy as teams that SHOULD draft a QB. I'm writing the Lions off for reasons I already said. I would draft Richardson if he was available no matter what.
Available QB's are Darnold, Minshew, Brady, Geno, Jimmy, Mike White, Daniel Jones, Mayfield. Tbh other than the last three I am fine with this group. Lamar is a free agent too but he's not going anywhere. Also to be honest I am partial to the first three guys on this list. I think if you pay one of these guys 12 million and repurpose the other 28 million that you'd be spending on a QB to defense instead, the team is a lot better off. And do you think any of these guys can play well with weapons at their disposal? I think so. If you intend to draft Richardson then the drafter should trend towards the last four guys in that group, but if you intend to sign one of those first three QB's, you should draft some defense.
Young - size issue with no high end physical traits.
Stroud - with a loaded roster, expected more production
Levis - didn't see the reduction in mistakes that was hoped for in year 2 as a starter. But, has the physical tools to be great. You need a very good OC and or HC to mold him.
And honestly, you should use the likes of Carr as a baseline as to how good these QBs in the draft can be. Are any likely to be better than Carr down the line? If the answer is no, then they shouldn't go as high.
Seattle uses Geno Smith as their benchmark. Detroit uses Goff as theirs. If neither club views these QBs to be better than either guy that they currently have, then there is no point in taking a QB that high. Plus Seattle, has months to work out a new deal with Smith. If they can get him signed in around $25 million per, I'd likely just ride with him vs draft and develop a QB
But, with Carr, the dead money is the 3 years of $1.875 million, so his cap charge to a new team, if traded is like $32 mill in 2023 and then like $41 mill in 2024 and 2025. I would think any acquiring team would look to re-work the deal for 2024 and 2025 years. Given the number of teams in search of a QB, Raiders should be able to receive a 2nd round pick in return and another conditional pick. I don't see them landing a first round pick given the teams that would be involved.
Richardson is really raw as a 1 year starter. I don't know if McDaniels has that much of a leash to ride with someone that raw. Richardson would have to ball out like a Herbert did in his rookie year to be content with a 5-12 season next year.