SoundAndFury
Registered User
- May 28, 2012
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- 5,346
Thank you, these calculations are actually very useful to get the bigger picture.Ferland scored 20 goals last year so assume he can do the same and that leaves the Canes 41 goals short from last year. I don't think it's unreasonable AT ALL to assume that Svech, Necas, Foegele, Wallmark, Zykov, and Martinook are going to exceed that 41 goals, not to mention being better defensively. Heck, they already have 8 goals between them in just 4 games.
I do agree with you that they are by no means a sure thing when it comes to the playoffs, but I do think they are much improved at forward compared to last year's team.
So basically Carolina needs ~83 goals out of their new guys to make the PO unless they get Vezina-level goaltending. Even if we pencil in Ferland for 25 that leaves 58 to the other guys. That seems like a lot, doesn't it?
So like I said, I agree this forward group is better but really there is plenty of reasons to be skeptical about it.