Can/Will the flyers make the playoffs?

[klutch]

Can you imagine where we'd be if bonehead Berube was still behind the bench?

Even worse imagine his boring use of Ghost .

So happy we have Hak right now, even though he makes some weird moves. He's clearly winning.

 

[Sawdalite]

Can you imagine where we'd be if bonehead Berube was still behind the bench?

Even worse imagine his boring use of Ghost .

So happy we have Hak right now, even though he makes some weird moves. He's clearly winning.

Trust me... Hak makes nowhere near as many weird moves as Freddy 'Fog' Shero did... I just hope that his pan out just as well as Freddy's did.

 

[Sawdalite]

 

[flyersfan018]

Detroit has dropped about 20% in the past 3-4 days. Damn.

 

[Hurricane28]

Anybody know our odds tonight if we win?

 

[CanadianFlyer88]

Anybody know our odds tonight if we win?

Odds are ~80% right now.

A regulation or OT win increases the odds about 9%. A SO win 8%.

 

[Juicy Pop]

6 more points all but guarantees us a spot, especially with a win against Detroit.

 

[Appleyard]

6 more points all but guarantees us a spot, especially with a win against Detroit.

I think even 5 more (2-3-1) makes it almost certain.

If the Flyers end with 94pts and 38 ROW:

Boston will have to go 3-2-0
Detroit will have to go 3-1-1

and they play each other once more before the season ends!

with all their wins in regulation/OT for them to both pass a 94pt, 38 ROW Flyers.

 

[Appleyard]

After tonight:

#1: Washington: .750% (123 point pace)
#2: Rangers: .625% (103 point pace)
#3: Pittsburgh: .618% (101 point pace)

#1: Tampa Bay: .612% (100 point pace)
#2: Florida: .612% (100 point pace)
#3: Boston: .571% (94 point pace)

#7: Islanders: .607% (99 point pace)
#8: Philly: .586% (96 point pace)

#9: Detroit: .565% (93 point pace)
#10: New Jersey: .532% (87 point pace)
#11: Carolina: .532% (87 point pace)
#12: Ottawa: .513% (84 point pace)
#13: Montreal: .494% (81 point pace)
#14: Buffalo: .474% (78 point pace)
#15: Columbus: .447% (73 point pace)
#16: Toronto: .441% (72 point pace)

To get to 94:

Tampa: 0-5-1 (.083%)
Florida: 0-5-1 (.083%)
Islanders: 1-5-1 (.214%)

Flyers: 2-3-1 (.417%)
Boston: 3-2-0 (.600%)
Detroit: 3-1-1 (.700%)

 

[Appleyard]

Sportsclubstats now have it at:

Flyers: 88.4% chance of playoffs
Boston: 73.6% chance of playoffs
Detroit: 38.5% chance of playoffs

 

[Sawdalite]

Sportsclubstats now have it at:

Flyers: 88.4% chance of playoffs
Boston: 73.6% chance of playoffs
Detroit: 38.5% chance of playoffs

It is amazing that with just one Point separating the Wings from the Bruins, the percent Odds are that great... and with them both on a downward spiral... Must be their respective schedules' difficulty and their and Home/Away records. Personally, I would have guessed that the Wings would have a better shot at the PostSeason than the Bruins.

... Possibly the fact that they face both the Flyers and the Bruins is also a key????

 

[BackToTheBrierePatch]

Trust me... Hak makes nowhere near as many weird moves as Freddy 'Fog' Shero did... I just hope that his pan out just as well as Freddy's did.

I am convinced that if the internet/HF boards were around when Shero was coaching this team the *****ing and moaning about his moves would be over the top. Even with them contending and winning Cups

 

[BackToTheBrierePatch]

After tonight:

#1: Washington: .750% (123 point pace)
#2: Rangers: .625% (103 point pace)
#3: Pittsburgh: .618% (101 point pace)

#1: Tampa Bay: .612% (100 point pace)
#2: Florida: .612% (100 point pace)
#3: Boston: .571% (94 point pace)

#7: Islanders: .607% (99 point pace)
#8: Philly: .586% (96 point pace)

#9: Detroit: .565% (93 point pace)
#10: New Jersey: .532% (87 point pace)
#11: Carolina: .532% (87 point pace)
#12: Ottawa: .513% (84 point pace)
#13: Montreal: .494% (81 point pace)
#14: Buffalo: .474% (78 point pace)
#15: Columbus: .447% (73 point pace)
#16: Toronto: .441% (72 point pace)

To get to 94:

Tampa: 0-5-1 (.083%)
Florida: 0-5-1 (.083%)
Islanders: 1-5-1 (.214%)

Flyers: 2-3-1 (.417%)
Boston: 3-2-0 (.600%)
Detroit: 3-1-1 (.700%)

3-3 gets the Flyers into the playoffs IMO

 

[FlyerFaithful17]

Both Detroit and Boston have very tough games Friday. We could get a potential stranglehold on the situation, if they both lose, if we win Saturday.

 

[Wellwood]

This made me smile: https://twitter.com/IneffectiveMath/status/715583042543288320
This explains how the numbers are calculated: http://hockeyviz.com/txt/oscar/oscar.html

 

[PHILOUDELPHIA]

wild have been playing well lately, they play at detroit on friday, i could see wild pulling the upset on the road.

 

[PHILOUDELPHIA]

the other stat that I can't believe is a possiblity, the goal differential. flyers are now -2 for the year. det is -14

 

[Random Forest]

the other stat that I can't believe is a possiblity, the goal differential. flyers are now -2 for the year. det is -14

This was not the case only until very recently either. I remember the Wings being positive and the Flyers below -10 only a couple weeks ago.

 

[usahockey22flyers]

@appleyard we need to get you a gift card to chickies and petes or something

 

[FatTugboatFlahr]

This made me smile: https://twitter.com/IneffectiveMath/status/715583042543288320
This explains how the numbers are calculated: http://hockeyviz.com/txt/oscar/oscar.html

Can someone explain our percentages for me ?

 

[Curufinwe]

@appleyard we need to get you a gift card to chickies and petes or something

I don't know if they have those in the UK.

 

[Audible Velvet]

Thanks for sharing. Cool stuff.

 

[Appleyard]

I don't know if they have those in the UK.

Haha.

Nope... not that I know of anyway!

 

[flyersfan018]

wild have been playing well lately, they play at detroit on friday, i could see wild pulling the upset on the road.

They actually have the same exact record: 38-28-11.

 

[FlyerFan22]

When they clinch a spot bring on epic sax guy