I think this could benefit both teams. Edm defence has looked fine without larsson and still need a top offensive dman. Barrie has not been a good fit and the leafs need a reliable defensive dman much more than Barrie. Kapanen would be a great fit on Edmonton’s first line or would give their 2nd line some much needed speed. Could see Puljujärvi being a good fit with Marner and JT
Of my 50+ Hockey theories, the 2 half’s of goal dif analysis were from 45+ yr observations.
Homeplate (it is an Elyptical conical cylander) was seeing the violence of the Flin Flon Bombers of Clarke and Leach being about getting to and defending the front of net. Realizing getting to the net was about targeting.
A. Their are elite Dmen who prevent homeplate penetration to their def side. Top 5 like Adam Larson.
True dman analysis requires differentiation of side.
Not punishing A dpartner for teamates failure or abandonment of HD area trying to chase offence by taking forwards pocession structure.
open/closed shot theory was playing road ( dirt) hockey at 10 with a younger
Ron Gunville (Player Personel Director WHL Champ PA Raiders) seeing him move with the ball like a table hockey goalie.
The ball had zero chance of going in. Closed shots.
Open shots: hit open space in net Elevation requiring goalies to move from their standard table hockey goalie position.
B. There Are Elite Dmen who have the lowest % of open shots ( scroreable) per corsi faced thru targeting pressure. Causing a high % of closed Corsi = ( blocks + forced misses + forced hit goalie)
Elite Dmen like Languay, Stevens, Russell.
When I started presenting my theories on “Lowetide” blog 2006.
One of the first thing I looked at is who wins championships
(4 teams compete each yr, 27 are non championship competative)
7 of 8 final 4 teams are are top GA teams
You want elite Dpairs that have low HD penetration and low open shots.
All current Analytics does not exclude the non scoreable data from their analysis. So it fails to identify the elite open shot forwards and Elite Closed Corsi/ Low danger Dmen.
You go to any of the analytic Calculator sites using my theories.
You can see defensmens names who repeat in the top ( lowest) evga/60 Dpairs.
Edmonton:
Larsson
Russel
Benning
The Russell- Benning Pair is the best evga/60 def pair in the game.
Barrie is a Repeat bottom ten def dman.
Allowing high open high danger shot rates.
With other repeat bottom 20 def Dmen like Reilly, Giordano, Ceci, Karlsson, Burns, .......
Yes when it comes to allowing close easy open net space shot targeting to there defensive side.
Giordano ( Norris), Karlsson (Norris), Burns ( Norris), Subban ( Norris) are some of the worst.
Hockey Media seems to think Dmen abandoning homeplate to get #6 to #10 forward Evp/60 rates and playing championship contention killing defence is a good thing.
But Historic Elite +ve Open HD shot save% goalies like Price, Holtby, Murray, Talbot, Smith, Elliott can have top HD shot save% goalie games buried by the inevitable high GA from brutally large volume of high danger open shots in the game.
Look at the last 2 games of repeat bottom 5 open HD def team Calgary and Toronto last games.
That poor Rookie Goalie.
Huge No to Barrie.
But he usually gets lots of points.
LAK won a cup with #28 ranked GF team.