The first 4 words that are bolded are correct/significant, the rest of the words are not. Things can change (we did). What if the Oilers have a great year this year? That could change the dialogue (i.e., 2 of last 3 seasons that they made playoffs, and/or advanced beyond the 1st round possibly).
We also had quantity eight (8) top eight overall draft choices ourselves since 04 (Schenn). So, we managed to do it (have success) despite years of being very unsuccessful. Not sure why we are so quick to throw rocks given this scenario/facts. Perhaps that disturbs the image that we like to paint of ourselves, but it is what it is.
Well, considering you were wondering why people were making the "assumption" in the first place, I feel the entirety of my response was correct/significant enough.
You're following up your critique of my answer with a bunch of what-ifs, though, which was exactly my point in the first place - The Oilers haven't done anything to warrant a change in peoples' expectations.
You talk about our past 10 years as if they're at all comparable, when the only similarity is that both teams were mismanaged for a while. The Leafs corrected this 4 years ago, but we still had to prove ourselves - even after drafting Matthews - before anyone actually took us seriously. The Leafs had a top-5 pick in 2008, yes, but they weren't doing the long-term draft-and-develop process that the Oilers have been mired in for the last decade, and Schenn and Kadri, as 5th- and 7th-overall picks, respectively, shouldn't have had the same expectations of turning around a sinking franchise that multiple 1st-overall picks in consecutive years should have.
We went in a different direction, failed, and then corrected. The Oilers have just been a steady clusterf*** for 10 straight years.
Could the Oilers suddenly turn it around? Sure, they definitely have some pretty fantastic pieces on their squad. But if you're going to ask why people assume they'll suck, the obvious answer is because they haven't given anyone any reason to believe they
won't suck. We could at least point to new management, new philosophies, and new talent as reasons why we would quickly reverse our fortunes - What are the Oilers pointing to, other than McDavid and Draisaitl?