Analysts are saying by the end of this year fortunately.
Analysts are great if you like to record the weather channel and watch it a week later.
I don’t think we can predict anything economic until we at least have a grasp on the virus. After that, you can start to model out economic impact and length and the second order effects.
This isn’t a model based market at the moment though, this one is driven by 2 things: News and liquidity.
It’s going to react when cases continue to climb here in the US, it’s going to react when unemployment numbers hit, it’s going to react when congress passes the stimulus bill, etc..but one thing is for sure, it’s not fundamentally driven right now and it’s crushing any technical “support” levels that it touches.
Not meant to be a fear monger..but just be wary of anyone telling you they see the other side of the market. The oldest lie in finance is “I know what’s going to happen” 2000 and 1929 took over 600 trading days to bottom. 87 took around 50. Who knows, that’s why it’s important to stick to a plan.
Dollar cost averaging and diversity are your best friends in both the best and worst of times.