GDT: 6/26/20 - NHL Draft Lottery

[Edmonton East]

It's not fixed guys. A firm like Ernst & Young isn't going to potentially destroy its reputation by fixing a sports draft.

Still a lousy result. The 8 play in teams should not have been in it.

As a former employee, you are giving them far too much credit.

Or just look at Arthur Anderson. Or prob KPMG in 5-10 years.

That said, yea, I don't think it was fixed. Just a horrendous setup by the NHL, per usual. Worst run league in pro sports.

 

[NJDevs26]

Not possible since the two teams play each other. Unless the Carolina pick is lottery protected (I don't think it is) the Rangers have a 12.5% at the pick no matter what.

If the play-in never happens they'd have a 25% shot at it.

He was saying it's a 25% shot of the Rangers or Arizona getting the #1 pick

BTW if HF will allow me to finally post this:

 

[NJDevs26]

Why is the draft thread closed?

It'll be open back up tomorrow or later tonight, it was just closed to avoid the same posts in the lotto thread.

 

[Jack Be Quick]

So the Penguins, Leafs, and Oilers all have a reasonable shot at Lafreniere.

Great job NHL.

 

[Jack Be Quick]

.

 

[JrFischer54]

Chaos will happen, Edmonton or Toronto or Pitt will win #1OA

they would have to lose their play in series and considering where they were in the standings would have the worse odds of winning it.

 

[Jack Be Quick]

Depends if you think it's worth it to tank out of the playoffs for a 12.5% shot at #1

If you're Montreal, Chicago, or the rags? Of course it is. You're not making any noise.

 

[Billdo]

So the Penguins, Leafs, and Oilers all have a reasonable shot at Lafreniere.

Great job NHL.

Provided they all lose their play in rounds.

 

[JrFischer54]

Chaos will happen, Edmonton or Toronto or Pitt will win #1OA

they would have to lose their play in series and considering where they were in the standings would have the worse odds of winning it.

 

[njdevils1982]

its over,

buffhole is picking later…….but ya…..this:

 

[njdevils1982]

its over,

buffhole is picking later…….but ya…..this:

 

[The 29th Pick]

every day in every way I'm becoming less and less a sports fan

 

[glenwo2]

Welp, likely there’s a 25% chance that one of Arizona or the Rangers win the lottery. Not ideal.

No.

Just...


NO!

That is the LAST thing I want : For Lafreniere to destroy us year-in and year-out wearing a FUGLY Blue-Shirt.

 

[Jack Be Quick]

Provided they all lose their play in rounds.

Or just one of them...

 

[glenwo2]

LOL Arizona's gonna get #1 overall aren't they? Darn you Hall

This is exactly what I'm fearing.


PLUS, how much you want to bet the teams competing in the Qualifying rounds won't fight so hard to win knowing that there's a chance at landing Lafreniere?

Absolute BS!

This was a Pure Gongshow by the League.

The Draft should've only involved the teams NOT participating.

 

[spitsfan24]

they would have to lose their play in series and considering where they were in the standings would have the worse odds of winning it.

All the play in losers have the same odds of getting the pick at 12.5%. If Pittsburgh loses the series against Montreal they'd have a 12.5% chance at Lafreniere.

 

[NJDevs26]

Teams aren't going to actively tank out of the playoffs just for a 1/8 shot at winning the top pick, this isn't 1984 where the Penguins tank 100% got them the top pick.

 

[Bologna 1]

So if you had to put money down, figure the few early favorites to be NJ's pick at 7 would be one of Holtz, Sanderson, Raymond or Rossi?

 

[glenwo2]

Teams aren't going to actively tank out of the playoffs just for a 1/8 shot at winning the top pick, this isn't 1984 where the Penguins tank 100% got them the top pick.

How do you know that?

Things are wacky this year.

Some teams may just do things that they ordinarily would not do.

 

[glenwo2]

So if you had to put money down, figure the few early favorites to be NJ's pick at 7 would be one of Holtz, Sanderson, Raymond or Rossi?

I'd take Sanderson ONLY IF Rossi, Raymond, and Holtz are gone.

 

[jkrdevil]

BTW, 3.75% chance the Devils end up with no extra first round picks in the 1st round this year according to Micah on Twitter (AZ and Vancouver both losing their play-in round and Az winning lottery). That is a higher percentage chance than the slot that won the #1 tonight (12 best odds).

So it's a non-zero chance that this could turn into a total disaster and push back a rebuild by 1+ extra years. Especially since we don't have a second or a 3rd this year.

 

[NJDevs26]

How do you know that?

Things are wacky this year.

Some teams may just do things that they ordinarily would not do.

The bigger worry from a competitive standpoint is how many players themselves want to stick it out in a bubble with the risk factor?

 

[JrFischer54]

All the play in losers have the same odds of getting the pick at 12.5%. If Pittsburgh loses the series against Montreal they'd have a 12.5% chance at Lafreniere.

wow that’s brutally stupid. I thought it would be based off of regular season point % lol wow the nhl really did screw this up.


Remember when the guy on ESPN said hockey wasn’t a top 4 sport and got bashed?

 

[Beastdog75]

I could see Lafreniere end up on the Habs. When's the last time they had a big French Canadian superstar?

 

[glenwo2]

BTW, 3.75% chance the Devils end up with no extra first round picks in the 1st round this year according to Micah on Twitter (AZ and Vancouver both losing their play-in round and Az winning lottery). That is a higher percentage chance than the slot that won the #1 tonight (12 best odds).

So it's a non-zero chance that this could turn into a total disaster and push back a rebuild by 1+ extra years. Especially since we don't have a second or a 3rd this year.

Disaster?

Try "NIGHTMARE".

Looks like I'm going to be a Coyote and Canuck fan for a little bit.

 

[glenwo2]

The bigger worry from a competitive standpoint is how many players themselves want to stick it out in a bubble with the risk factor?

So COVID is going to be their "Excuse" for tanking, is what you're saying.

Makes sense. (really, it does.)

 

[Brodeur]

So if you had to put money down, figure the few early favorites to be NJ's pick at 7 would be one of Holtz, Sanderson, Raymond or Rossi?

Quick and dirty mock draft version 1.0:

1. TBD - LW Alexis Lafreniere
2. LAK - LW Tim Stutzle
3. OTT - C Quinton Byfield
4. DET - C Marco Rossi
5. OTT - RW Lucas Raymond
6. ANA - RD Jamie Drysdale
7. NJD - LD Jake Sanderson
8. BUF - LW Cole Perfetti

....perhaps contingent on where the Arizona pick ends up. If it stays around #10, then I'd be targeting the leftover of Holtz/Quinn.

 

[glenwo2]

I could see Lafreniere end up on the Habs. When's the last time they had a big French Canadian superstar?

You know what?

I almost want him to be there.

That way, he can terrorize the Laffs for decades in Canada.

But also, he wouldn't be a Rag, Pen, Flyer, Isles, or any other local rival.