Old Guy
Just waitin' on my medication.
- Aug 30, 2015
- 1,847
- 1,645
Before the start of last season, I conducted the same exercise back to 2005-06. You are exactly correct. There is more turnover in playoff teams than folks realize. The average number of new entrants each season is 6 (10 repeats). The lowest number was 4 new teams in a season (12 repeats). The most was 7 new teams (9 repeats). Because I created a table, I saved it in Word. I could not find my post within HF. Here is my research:
Okay, so I decided to go back and look at how many new teams are in the playoffs each year. For better or worse, I used my baseline year as the 03-04 season. That is the season before the entire season was lost. It is only reasonable to assume that the makeup of the playoffs after a complete year lost would show a higher change than normal. Here are the results;
05-06|3|2|5|82
06-07|3|2|5|82
07-08|4|1|5|82
08-09|2|4|6|82
09-10|2|4|6|82
10-11|4|1|5|82
11-12|4|1|5|82
12-13|3|2|5|48
13-14|4|2|6|82
14-15|3|4|7|82
15-16|2|2|4|82
SO I guess my point is, as you look at some of the predictions from these “learned experts”, if they don’t have at least 4 or 5 new teams making the playoffs, they are most likely wrong.
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