I wonder if Robo has given an indication of not signing what the Stars want whether it be years or dollars.
Let's just assume that Sturm was saying he's aware that there's currently a gap in the negotiation about the contract for the sake of this conversation (I think there's still a chance he's speaking hypothetically/speculating about why Dallas might consider that trade).
If I was Robertson's agent, I would dig my heels in for a 3-year bridge deal. I'm betting on my client, and I'm telling him to bet on himself. I'd say the odds that he gets a massive payday in 3 years are better than it not happening. The cap will have just had a massive jump in value, and you're essentially getting paid UFA dollars at that point only being 1 year from UFA.
If I'm Nill, I'm doing everything possible to lock him up 8. I also can't imagine a scenario where Robertson is going to fall off the map, and I'm trying to avoid a potential $10+ million contract in 3 years when the cap and contracts, in general, take a leap forward. The thing that's made me wonder if Nill isn't thinking like this was him saying that Robertson should come in between $6 and $7 million. That's clearly a bridge, but maybe he was only saying that because he knew that Robertson's team was dug in on it.
The Tkachuk situation arises now. He's getting an 8-year deal right now. He wants it. I think he probably believes he'll get paid more than Johnny Hockey ... and maybe he does, but I don't think it would be significantly more. Tkachuk is also only 17 months older than Robertson. There's a cap argument to be made that if you value the players similarly, an 8-year deal to Tkachuk today in the $9.5 million range that takes the player to 32 years of age is superior to giving a bridge to Robertson at 23 then paying him a monster contract that takes him into his mid-30's that would likely be at least a couple if not more million more than what Tkachuk might get this summer.
You kind of have to think about the summer of 2025 when you talk about this deal. Potentially, hypothetically, however you want to look at it, you stand to have more money in 2025 and beyond when you're possibly a Cup contender and really getting serious.
All of this is moot if Robertson is willing to go 8 now, but like I said .. I guess it depends on how you interpret Sturm's tweet.