Perusing betting lines on NJ sportsbooks to see what oddsmakers feel about the draft order. The most likely for each draft slot:
1. Laf -20,000
2. Stutzle -125, Byfield -110
3. Byfield -125, Stutzle -110
4. Perfetti -165, Raymond +450, Askarov +500, Sanderson/Rossi +600
5. Sanderson +200, Raymond/Askarov +400, Drysdale +600
Player to be drafted first:
1.Sanderson (-162) vs. 2.Drysdale (+120)
Draft position over/under:
Askarov over/under 10.5
Sanderson o/u 5.5
Drysdale o/u 6.5
Raymond o/u 7.5
Rossi o/u 7.5
Reading the tea leaves, it seems as though the Sanderson hype is real and that he will not be around for our pick (at least in the eyes of oddsmakers). It really comes down to what Anaheim does at 6 to see if we get a shot at Drysdale. If they go with him, the likeliest choice is between Rossi and Raymond at that o/u 7.5. Thankfully Askarov’s o/u of 10.5 makes me think he will not be our selection at 7, but you never know. Personally, I’d be very happy choosing between Raymond, Drysdale, and Rossi at 7 if this is indeed how it shakes out with no monkey wrenches thrown in the mix (there usually is).
I've been saying this awhile, but Jake Sanderson is the only player I would say is a likelihood of going at #4, #5 and #6 overall. Outside the ostensible "Big 3" of Lafreniere/Byfield/Stutzle, Sanderson is the least likely player to make it to the Devils at the #7 pick. He not only fills a huge team need as a almost-NHL ready future 25-minute, all-situations LD, but he's also right in line with what all three of those teams and front offices have coveted in their recent draft histories. When you add in that he's also -- at least arguably -- in the conversation for "best available player" at all three picks, and it's tough to conceive of his falling to the Devils at #7 overall.
Using the same logic, Drysdale is the second-least likely player to fall. Again, all three teams -- Detroit, Ottawa and Anaheim -- have major organizational holes at RD, and none of them have an offensive defenseman with nearly the upside of Jamie Drysdale. I'm a bit skeptical about Ottawa and Anaheim due to their reluctance to use early draft picks on players under 6'0, especially on the blueline. The last player under 6'0 drafted with Anaheim's first pick was Kyle Palmieri in 2011. For Ottawa? We need to go back to Patrick Eaves in 2003. Last year, neither Anaheim nor Ottawa iced a single defenseman under 6'0. However, Drysdale is a bit of a unique player who often draws comparisons to Cale Makar, whom any NHL team would covet regardless of size preference. Also, Drysdale is not like some of the other offensive defensemen in the 2020 class who are liabilities defensively and physically, like Helge Grans and Jeremie Poirier and Lucas Cormier. Drysdale is actually a pretty good defender, and not unwilling to play with edge. Thus, I have to think he's a good bet to be gone in the top 6.
Fortunately for the Devils, the #7 spot is a nice place to be in 2020. If either of Drysdale or Sanderson fall, I'd say they would be the certain front runner to be the Devils top pick. But if they both are gone by #7? That would leave two of an extremely talented trio of line-driving forwards in Perfetti/Raymond/Rossi available. We'd also need to consider Alex Holtz, as Fitzgerald knows how valuable a pure goal-scorer like this would be to a Hughes or a Hischier. However, I would caution against Holtz, simply because there should be goal-scoring wingers with comparable talent available at #18 & #20 -- especially Jacob Perreault and Rodion Amirov, but also Gunler, Reichel, Mercer etc. One or two of those names should slip through the cracks.