If I had to guess, Norway is going straight back down. They didn't deserve a point against Belarus today. Players were slow, couldn't make fundamental passes even when no one was contesting, they lost the puck routinely even when no one was around. Not a single even slightly impressive shot on the game today, and they probably whiffed on more one-timers than they made contact. Some mistakes you would assume are because Belarus is good, but a lot of these unforced errors are just a product of being bad at hockey...
Belarus looked fine today, they dominated front to back and it was only incidental that the pucks only began going in later in the game rather than earlier. They're not unbeatable, but they deserved all of the 3 points.