- Jan 23, 2010
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You go run-run, defense is playing the run, they end up stopping you both times into 3rd and long. Then what, you run again and kick a field goal with ~60 seconds left, or you pass, it goes incomplete there's a minute 40 or so left. Both situations are giving the Rams a solid chance to get into field goal range, we saw the kick Zuerlein made; that was good from 65. There is still the chance you score a touchdown, but your calls become predictable and make it much harder to do.
So you take a chance and try to catch them off guard by passing, being aggressive and going for the touchdown or even better the first down. You score the touchdown, or get the first down and your chances of winning are a lot higher than if you run the ball 3 times and kick a field goal.
Maybe it is too aggressive, but I don't agree with people blaming him, when it worked if the refs didn't blow it.
I'm open to being explained why I'm wrong though!
I'm open to being aggressive on third down and especially trying for a first down vs a touchdown. I'm not sure if Payton has commented on it, but if the goal of the third down pass is to get a first down and not a touchdown, that's great. That sets you up well to run down the clock and kick a FG. I don't like that the play was to a depth WR who barely touches the ball all game, but whatever. The play design worked. When you say "it worked if the refs didn't blow it" - it's true that the 3rd down play worked.
First down has to 100% be a run. You have ran through the best scenarios of that pass to Thomas, and even they aren't great. Getting 5 yards on that slant is okay, but doesn't really accomplish a ton. Getting a TD on the first down is a bad option as you give the Rams the ball with both timeouts and tons of time. The only option that is great off that play is a 1st down, which considering where they were on the field would be incredibly difficult.
I also hate the thought that running the ball on first down is somehow throwing away the play. The Saints are an excellent running team and have plenty of options with Kamara, Ingram, or even something with Taysom Hill. You can be creative and try to move the ball on the ground.
As for "both situations giving the Rams a chance to kick a FG", sure. But the defensive and offensive play-calling will be different with much less time on the clock, and that will favor the defense.