Line Combos: 2018-19 Starting Roster II

portamoral

Registered User
Nov 6, 2015
1,937
309
Copp is leading the Jets' forwards in Evolving Hockey's expected goals for per 60 (xGF_60, RAPM) by a considerable margin. I'm not convinced that you couldn't put Copp between two very talented wingers like Ehlers and Connor and run that as your second line. He has speed, decent vision, some finishing ability and is outstanding defensively. Ehlers and Connor are dynamic enough to create offense.

Next year...

Laine-Scheifele-Wheeler
Connor-Copp-Ehlers
Vesalainen-Little-Roslovic
Perreault-Lowry-Appleton
that 3rd line looks very bad

also not convinced copp is anything more than a good 3C. he's having a real nice season but so was lowry last year and look at him now. the 2 are pretty similar players, i don't think he has the consistent offense to warrant playing that high up the lineup
 

Whileee

Registered User
May 29, 2010
46,075
33,132
that 3rd line looks very bad

also not convinced copp is anything more than a good 3C. he's having a real nice season but so was lowry last year and look at him now. the 2 are pretty similar players, i don't think he has the consistent offense to warrant playing that high up the lineup
I think offense from the C position is overrated. You could mix around the third and 4th lines a bit, moving Perreault to LW with Littele. I think Vesalainen and Roslovic are going to be very good wingers, but time will tell.
 

portamoral

Registered User
Nov 6, 2015
1,937
309
I think offense from the C position is overrated. You could mix around the third and 4th lines a bit, moving Perreault to LW with Littele. I think Vesalainen and Roslovic are going to be very good wingers, but time will tell.
wasn't just talking offense from the C position but offense from the 2nd line in general. i think it'd be worth trying copp with more skill this year before the playoffs, but to rely on him in the 2 slot next year is pushing it a bit imo. i was starting to think the same thing about lowry after last season and then this season happened.

i am still very hopeful for roslovic but vesalainen i have serious doubts, especially that soon.
 

Whileee

Registered User
May 29, 2010
46,075
33,132
I'm tempted to make a full "Andrew Copp Appreciation Thread", but instead I'll just leave nuggets here and there.

Copp is 2nd among Jets Cs in total points/60 (5v5), and matches well in the metric with players like E Staal and B Schenn, among others.

Here is where the Jets Cs fit in the NHL in total points/60 (5v5), considering only players with 400+ minutes this season...

Copp sits at around 72 in the NHL, despite playing mostly with low-scoring line-mates. He's ahead of Little and within shouting distance of Scheifele.

I think the Jets would be very smart to try Copp with a couple of scoring wingers, as they have with Perreault and Roslovic. I think he would also fit very well with Connor or Laine with Ehlers.

upload_2019-3-19_17-43-2.png
 

Al Camino

Registered User
Jul 18, 2018
1,398
1,421
Is is just me or is that third line not looking so good? Wasn't the point of getting Hayes to have Little move down and take advantage of going against inferior competition? Does this organization over value what Adam Lowry is? Not trying to be sarcastic, just wondering what everyone's thoughts are.
 

surixon

Registered User
Jul 12, 2003
49,005
70,008
Winnipeg
I'm tempted to make a full "Andrew Copp Appreciation Thread", but instead I'll just leave nuggets here and there.

Copp is 2nd among Jets Cs in total points/60 (5v5), and matches well in the metric with players like E Staal and B Schenn, among others.

Here is where the Jets Cs fit in the NHL in total points/60 (5v5), considering only players with 400+ minutes this season...

Copp sits at around 72 in the NHL, despite playing mostly with low-scoring line-mates. He's ahead of Little and within shouting distance of Scheifele.

I think the Jets would be very smart to try Copp with a couple of scoring wingers, as they have with Perreault and Roslovic. I think he would also fit very well with Connor or Laine with Ehlers.

View attachment 201939

Is this am outlier year ala Lowry last year or does he have a history of scoring at a decent clip?
 

JetsFan815

Registered User
Jan 16, 2012
19,226
24,328
Is is just me or is that third line not looking so good? Wasn't the point of getting Hayes to have Little move down and take advantage of going against inferior competition? Does this organization over value what Adam Lowry is? Not trying to be sarcastic, just wondering what everyone's thoughts are.

Tanev-Lowry-Little line is the line I've been most disappointed by. They have had a couple of good games but haven't looked threatening other than that. I expected them to be much better
 

DRW204

Registered User
Dec 26, 2010
22,268
27,053
ive been a proponent of giving Copp more talent on his line. he's been performing well offensively/defensively with a majority of the time being paired with Appleton/Lemieux and Roslovic, two rookies and a guy who can't produce at 5v5. it doesn't surprise me Perreault started to produce more since he has been playing with Copp. If i recall Copp is far and away the leader on the team in 5v5 +/- too?
 

Neuf

Leaving HFBoards for now
Dec 17, 2016
6,217
9,290
Is is just me or is that third line not looking so good? Wasn't the point of getting Hayes to have Little move down and take advantage of going against inferior competition? Does this organization over value what Adam Lowry is? Not trying to be sarcastic, just wondering what everyone's thoughts are.
Yeah banishing Little was a weird result.
 

Whileee

Registered User
May 29, 2010
46,075
33,132
Tanev-Lowry-Little line is the line I've been most disappointed by. They have had a couple of good games but haven't looked threatening other than that. I expected them to be much better
If that line can play opponents' top 2 lines to even, then the Jets are in very good shape. I don't think they need to score much. However, to date they have been buried in shot metrics and need to improve or that experiment needs to end. I've been underwhelmed by Tanev's game lately. He's making a lot of poor decisions with the puck, particularly in his own zone. Lowry has been up and down.
 
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DRW204

Registered User
Dec 26, 2010
22,268
27,053
If that line can play opponents' top 2 lines to even, then the Jets are in very good shape. I don't think they need to score much. However, to date they have been buried in shot metrics and need to improve or that experiment needs to end. I've been underwhelmed by Tanev's game lately. He's making a lot of poor decisions with the puck, particularly in his own zone. Lowry has been up and down.
i kind of disagree. the top 6 is poor/inefficient at 5v5 scoring and the combo of top 6 players is negative at 5v5 +/-. It's sub-optimal but the bottom 6 needs to make up the fact that the top 6 has scoring inefficiencies. Copp typically does whilst playing good defensively. Lowry is a defensive specialist who's fallen off compared to last year
 

Maukkis

EZ4ENCE
Mar 16, 2016
10,573
7,269
i kind of disagree. the top 6 is poor/inefficient at 5v5 scoring and the combo of top 6 players is negative at 5v5 +/-. It's sub-optimal but the bottom 6 needs to make up the fact that the top 6 has scoring inefficiencies. Copp typically does whilst playing good defensively. Lowry is a defensive specialist who's fallen off compared to last year
Interesting. I'd be inclined to think that your best players should perform the best.

The balance we had last year (at least at times) was simply unreal. How nearly everyone has lost several steps over the summer is unbelievable.
 

DRW204

Registered User
Dec 26, 2010
22,268
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Interesting. I'd be inclined to think that your best players should perform the best.

The balance we had last year (at least at times) was simply unreal. How nearly everyone has lost several steps over the summer is unbelievable.
agreed that's why i said it is sub-optimal. but the fact is they haven't been performing at top line quality at 5v5 for majority of the year, other guys who have displayed good 5v5 scoring efficiencies in the past (ie: Lowry, Roslovic) have taken steps back as well.

so yes - our top line players should be better, i also think there are other guys in supporting roles who should be scoring at better efficiencies too that should step up a bit.
 
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MoreMorrissey

Registered User
Apr 27, 2017
480
389
Winningpeg
Laine-Scheif-Roslo
Connor-Hayes-Wheeler
Perreault-Little-Ehlers
Tanev-Lowry-Copp

In the quest to find a 3rd scoring line we reunite PLE hoping it works as it has in previous seasons.
Give Roslo (and the first line as a whole) some easy matchups hoping all 3 guys rediscover the form we know they are capable of.
Wheeler and Hayes would be a cycling machine and would set up our 30 goal farmboy with some ridiculous sauce.
CLT enough said.
Balanced ice time, what do y'all think?
 

DRW204

Registered User
Dec 26, 2010
22,268
27,053
Laine-Scheif-Roslo
Connor-Hayes-Wheeler
Perreault-Little-Ehlers
Tanev-Lowry-Copp

In the quest to find a 3rd scoring line we reunite PLE hoping it works as it has in previous seasons.
Give Roslo (and the first line as a whole) some easy matchups hoping all 3 guys rediscover the form we know they are capable of.
Wheeler and Hayes would be a cycling machine and would set up our 30 goal farmboy with some ridiculous sauce.
CLT enough said.
Balanced ice time, what do y'all think?
I think Copp deserves a look between higher skilled players tbh. he's been one of the more unheralded players on the team rating well both offensively and defensively. Consider also he was playing most of the year b/w 2 rookies (Appleton and Lemieux) and a guy with underwhelming 5v5 production (Roslovic). I have not been impressed with Roslovic at all this year. I don't see any instance he should be playing over Wheeler or Ehlers. Id rather keep 55-26 together than 28 on the top line.

I also think Perreault has been a bit mis-casted this season. I think he can still provide good results in a top 6 role.

Perreault-Scheifele-Laine
Ehlers-Hayes-Wheeler
Connor-Copp-Roslovic
Tanev-Lowry-Little

Each scoring line (lines 1-3) has a strong goal scorer/playmaker/and a skilled grinder.

You can also put Little at 3C and unite TLC if needed too.
 
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Duke749

Savannah Ghost Pirates
Apr 6, 2010
47,846
22,867
Canton, Georgia
Copp needs to center a line. He’s playing too well to not even if it means putting Little on the wing. Wouldn’t be opposed to those two in a line honestly.
 
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Adam da bomb

Registered User
May 1, 2016
12,690
9,620
I think Copp deserves a look between higher skilled players tbh. he's been one of the more unheralded players on the team rating well both offensively and defensively. Consider also he was playing most of the year b/w 2 rookies (Appleton and Lemieux) and a guy with underwhelming 5v5 production (Roslovic). I have not been impressed with Roslovic at all this year. I don't see any instance he should be playing over Wheeler or Ehlers. Id rather keep 55-26 together than 28 on the top line.

I also think Perreault has been a bit mis-casted this season. I think he can still provide good results in a top 6 role.

Perreault-Scheifele-Laine
Ehlers-Hayes-Wheeler
Connor-Copp-Roslovic
Tanev-Lowry-Little

Each scoring line (lines 1-3) has a strong goal scorer/playmaker/and a skilled grinder.

You can also put Little at 3C and unite TLC if needed too.
Perrault has not been any better than Roslovic. Roslovic at least shows the spark of something more while Perrault doesn't.
 

Maukkis

EZ4ENCE
Mar 16, 2016
10,573
7,269
Perrault has not been any better than Roslovic. Roslovic at least shows the spark of something more while Perrault doesn't.
Yeah. The things Perreault has been better than Roslovic in are...

- point production rate at 5v5
- relative xG differential
- relative Corsi differential
- individual goal- and xG production rate

Soooo... yeah, that spark you're alluding to might be a little less important than you think.
 
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Adam da bomb

Registered User
May 1, 2016
12,690
9,620
Yeah. The things Perreault has been better than Roslovic in are...

- point production rate at 5v5
- relative xG differential
- relative Corsi differential
- individual goal- and xG production rate

Soooo... yeah, that spark you're alluding to might be a little less important than you think.
At 4x the cost Perrault is such a bargain.
 

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