They could be a contender as soon as
next season if they hire Q and make a big splash in free agency this summer.
I think you are forgetting the effect a good coach and a few tweaks can have.
Look at Calgary last season vs. Calgary this season for an example.
All they did was :
- Fire Galutzan
- Hire Peters
- Trade Hamilton, Ferland, Fox for Hanifin, Lindholm
Trading Hamilton, Ferland (21 goals in 2017-18) was a big move, akin to trading Voracek and Simmonds.
A few other matters:
Tkachuk #6-2016, had 32 ES points in 2017-18, 33 so far this year (though his 19.3 Sh% isn't sustainable) at 21
Monahan #6-2013, has made a big jump at 24 years old
Lindholm #5-2014, is having the breakout season at 24 he never had under Peters in Carolina
The goalies are a wash and Neal (32) turned out to be an awful FA signing - 5yr, $28.75M, also Ryan (32) - 3yr, $9.375.
Basically, this is team being carried by Gaudreau and three top draft picks who have broke out this season, especially on the PP, which has gone from awful to above average. The defense has improved slightly, 2.06 ES Goals per game v 2.28.
I'm not sure how much impact Peters has had, but patience with young prospects certainly made a difference.
I want to "blow it up" in the sense of moving out some of the veteran core, Simmonds, Voracek, Raffl, and bring in some new blood. I'd include Ghost in a trade for a top RHD (because I think he has no upside left, no sign he's every going to regain his exceptional burst as a rookie) - they went belly up with them, they can win without them. We'd still have Provorov, Sanheim and Morin as LHD, with Kalynuk, Ginning, Zamula and Hogberg on the way,
But I don't want to touch the young core, TK, Patrick, Lindblom, Provorov, Sanheim, Myers, or the top prospects, Frost, Farabee, Hart. Add G as the veteran anchor and Couts, and you have 9 players to build around, and throw in this year's top pick. Add a top forward and RHD and you have a solid playoff team next year, and a Cup contender in 2-3 years. Bring in someone like Staal as a short-term patch if you want to buy time for Frost and Rubtsov.