So what about Chabot and a 1st for Duchene? This could possibly get it done or very close.
Less disruption to the current lineup but we lose our best prospect that happens to also be a D.
So the question is. .. to us who has more value Ceci + White or Chabot?
I've been thinking about the Ceci+White+1st for Duchene a lot this week and I keep going back on fourth.
Pure speculation, but it is entirely possible that Phaneuf won't waive or he will but the Sens are too afraid of losing him to expose him in the draft. This would put the Sens in a situation where they'd be losing one of their top 4 regardless either via trade in the summer pre expansion draft to leverage their protection or via the expansion draft.
If they are floating the idea of trading a top 4 d in the summer it would make the most sense to trade Ceci because Ceci would have the most trade value on the market out of Phaneuf, Methot, and himself but he'd have the least immediate value to our lineup in the next few years as Phaneuf and Methot are likely to be better for the next 2.5 seasons.
The reason that is relevant to trading Ceci for Duchene now is that the only reason to wait until the summer to trade Ceci in anticipation of only being able to protect 3 defense is that it is easier to re-tool the roster in the summer and it wouldn't disrupt us on the way to the playoffs. But the problem is our lineup has already been heavily disrupted as a result of Stone/Hoff/Ryan going down. So if at any point they have been thinking about moving a top 4D to leverage against the expansion draft they might as well pull the trigger now. They disrupt the defense, but if Stone or Hoffman is out longer term they fix up the top 6. Ryan will be out a few weeks as it is, so that's at least two of them gone on the road to the playoffs.
They could wait until the summer and do the exact trade but then there's no guarantee Duchene is still available and no guarantee a better forward is on the market.
This is pure speculation on my part, there's been no reports they are trading one of their four top 4D. There were I think reports a few weeks ago about Phaneuf being asked to waive but it might have just been some analysts speculation misinterpreted as an actual rumour. So if they asked Phaneuf already he may have already said no.