Artemis
Took the red pill
I definitely think he is ready for AHL hockey. He has had a very successful start.
My hang up is that if he is three years away from playing in the NHL, then I don't want him spending 3 years in Providence. I think it is bad for a players psyche to be cut three times. If he really is three years away, I'd much rather he play this year in Swedish-2, the following year in Swedish Elite or the AHL, and the 3rd year in the AHL.
If he is one or two years away, then he is much better off in the AHL this year. He will be a far better player at the start of next year because of it.
However, most good players taken in his general range require three years of development (Krejci, Parise, Couture, Marchand, Reilly Smith, Kreider, Turris, Strome etc.). I think there is a decent chance Pastrnak will be ready after 1 or 2 years (some players can do it) but it would still be exceptional.
Krejci spent just a year and a half in the AHL; I expect Pastrnak (who has better raw skills) to do about the same.
Another thing to consider about Pastrnak's development is not just that he has to get adjusted to the North American game, but to North America, period. I think some fans have no idea what a culture shock it is for European players, and how long it takes to adjust (some never do). Learning how to live here, bonding with his teammates, establishing relationships with the coaching staff, it all makes life easier down the road and will make him a better player in the long run.