Sorry Fareast this post is not directed at you, just using it as a jumping off point.
Over the summer I've started to refine my focus on what the Jets need. I think most of us around here consider the Jets to be a bubble team. And I'll add, under Maurice a decently well coached bubble team. So how does a well coached bubble team move towards being a contender? I'd argue by becoming more skilled?
So the question becomes how to the Jets become a more skilled team? We all know they won't/can't go out and buy skilled players in their prime so they need to bring in their own prospects. Here we have the good fortune of sitting on the best prospect pool in hockey.
That is why I have been advocating for a rookie wave. Going out and re-signing depth players like Stemp and Tlusty won't move us past bubble status. Having tweeners like Hali, Cormier & Frasier on the team won't move us beyond bubble status. What will move us towards being a contenter is adding skill. This is what Ehlers, Petan, Armia and Morrissey offer.
And it is not like the Jets are rushing these guys in especially in contrast to how prospects were handled in Atlanta. Not one came onto the team straight from the draft. To date only one in his draft +2 year (Trouba), though Ehlers is a good bet. To date only one in their draft +3 year (Scheifele).
Now it looks like we have a wave ready. So why should we start getting cold feet about introducing them into the lineup? IMO the Jets are a conservative organization by nature. If they think some of their prospects are ready, I say bring them on because IMO that is they only way we will move to a brighter future.
I think you make some very good points. We have definitely handled our players better than the Thrasher organization has, following the mantra of draft and develop. Compared to Bogosian, Kane and Burmi who all made the team as 18 year olds, and probably lacked maturity as a consequence, we have had only Trouba force his way on to the team. Scheif was coached by a respected former Jet, and was given the physical development need through the Roberts camp. Lowry got a full season in the A, to work on all aspects of his game, before making the team, even though he was probably ready as a 20 year old, at least physically. Morrissey, it appears is going to get to start in the A. Petan and/or Copp may as well.
The problem I have with rushing the youth to provide more skill, is that we may stray from the recipe which has worked well for other d&d teams, like Detroit and Nashville. First in demoting tweeners, who are waiver-eligible, we risk losing them to waivers, thus depleting the talent pool as a whole, whereas it will do no harm whatsoever to have players like Copp, Petan, Armia, etc. to develop their professional skills, with more playing time and responsibility (like Lowry). I think we can boast this year, a couple of potential tweeners on ELC (Armia and Lipon), which is a good predicament. If we are a true d&d team, like Detroit, we would ideally like our players to make the club, overripe, which is something we have not be able to do to date, as we inherited a franchised whose cupboards were pretty bare. I also don't think that skill is necessarily our problem. We outplayed the Stanley Cup champions last year, and a big reason was our physical edge, trying to be more finesse, when our style clearly worked seems like a step in the wrong direction. One of the reason we lost to Anaheim is that they were more physical than us.
I'd be happy if two of our rookies made the team.
I am hoping for a top 9 of
Ladd-Little-Petan/Ehlers
Perrault-Scheif-Wheeler
Lowry-Burmi-Stafford
I would prefer Petan to Ehlers because he is more responsible defensively and a better option for special teams (PP), essentially replacing Frolik. I also have a mindset that as a 19 year old it is highly unlikely Ehlers dominates. I look at Filip Forsberg as a comparable player, and he played a full season in the A before making an impact. I have been wrong before, but I am more cautious than most when discussing Ehlers.
4th line could be interesting. On paper it looks like Fraser/Halischuk-Copp/Cormier-Thorburn, with Peluso getting into games against nastier teams like St. Louis and Colorado. If Thorburn is used at LW, which I don't like the idea of, maybe Armia steps up. But I look at Armia's stats with the Ice Caps last year, and I am not sure he is the answer. I think JC Lipon might be just as good of an option, especially since he played LW last year. If it is Copp-Thorburn, I would like to see Stempniak get a chance at least with a PTO, because as an overall player, he would be an upgrade to Fraser and Halischuk, capable of playing not only on a 4th line, but on a 3rd as well, and producing. Neither Fraser or Hali have shown that ability.
The other thing to consider, is not just skill, but roles. Having a glut of offensive players is great, but really where are they going to factor in to the roughly 1/4 of the game that is played by special teams players. There is maybe room for one PP player. Are we going to use all our best players on the PK? Burmi-Lowry, Ladd-Little, Scheif-Wheeler? Blocking shots in today's NHL is a good way to get injured, so we risk losing our stars to yeoman's work. If Maurice wants to rest his stars for more productive ice time, then guys like Lipon and Cormier, maybe Hali too (Stemp as well), become relevant players, for being the grunts that battle in the trenches.