DAChampion
Registered User
- May 28, 2011
- 29,821
- 20,977
Why not? Some have to do with luck. Subban and Lehkonen is better then Eller. Urquhart and Lapierre not so much but you never know.
As an example, look at the 2nd rounders from the 2007 NHL entry draft, the year Eller was drafted.
http://www.hockeydb.com/ihdb/draft/nhl2007e.html
Very few of them have accomplished more in the NHL than Eller has. Of those 30 guys:
- Only 1 has played more NHL games than Eller;
- Only 4 have played 50% as many games as Eller has or more (Wayne Simmonds, Nick Spaling, T.J. Galiardi, PK Subban);
- Only two (PK Subban, Wayne Simmonds) have more NHL points than Eller;
- If you instead look at the 2006 NHL 2nd round to see how many players have 175 or more points (what Eller will have at the end of this year, approximately), you find Nikolai Kulemin, Milan Lucic, Artem Anisimov, ... so that's 3 players out of 30;
Generally the 2nd round is a barren field with a few stray flowers randomly distributed. The average patch though is just dead soil. You guys overestimate the worth of 2nd rounders, possibly because you've been spoiled by Timmins.
Your odds of getting a player better than Eller in the 2nd round are simply extremely low.