Clearly you don't want to look reality in the face, and recognize it for what it is.
Ottawa has to catch, and pass Florida, Detroit, Montreal and Boston to get into a playoff spot.
Those teams are not going to be standing still, in the race for third in the Division.......... they all want the same spot.
Boston in now 7 points ahead of the Senators, plus they have a game in hand (over Ottawa).
Ottawa will now have to gain 73 points, to reach 98 points at the end of the season, in their remaining 54 games ....... which is a 0.676 rate (P%) for the next 54 games.
So far, Ottawa has played at a 0.446 rate for their 28 games so far.
Do you understand how much better they would have to play, in order to jump from 0.446 to 0.676 and stay at that rate for the next 54 games?? I don't think you do, and to put it in perspective take a look at the Leafs, who are currently sitting at a 0.650 rate through their first 30 games .......... The Senators would have to play better than the Leafs have so far this season, for the remainder of the season, just to get to 98 points.
The odds of this happening is now down to 6.6%........ are you willing to bet on those odds?
Ottawa Senators Chance Will Make Playoffs - Sports Club Stats