I am with
@LowLefty on this one as far as tonight's game goes. I agree with
@KingBogo that with 55 out this team looks like a shell of itself and has trouble winning games but usually that is related to their inability to score. This season when he was out their defense held up pretty well, they just couldn't score to save their lives. The Jets metrics with 55 out in Jan:
vs | Corsi | xGF |
Flyers | 49.81 | 51.76 |
Islanders | 48.93 | 50.58 |
Senators | 46.03 | 45.24 |
Bruins | 53.97 | 50.07 |
Leafs | 64.84 | 70.32 |
Leafs | 50.97 | 48.92 |
Those are all playoff teams too other than the Sens. By contrast tonight they were 33.83% Corsi and 25.73% xGoals. I hope this game was the flu or some thing but there have been enough of these games since the ASB to leave me concerned about the defense. Aavco posts rolling 15 game graphs of xGoalsAgainst and that arrow started spiking up right after the ASB and shows now sign of dipping down.
Interestingly enough, the Jets offense is as good as it was during their best periods in Dec/Jan, it;s just that the defense has fallen off from being much better than league average to worse than league average. Which also seems to align with the eye test.