I think a lot depends on Wilson and what they want to do there. Vogel mentions him as a catalyst to trading a forward. Do they really want to keep Wilson for the 4th line? Is Oates willing to play Fehr at LW to find him some ice? I heard Oates comments about Johansson's speed being more valuable on the wing than at center "with how we like to play" and wonder why he wouldn't want to keep Chimera?
I think its possible that they trade a forward if they want to keep Wilson, but I see other scenarios that are more likely. Wilson back to junior rather than the 4th line as a for instance. That makes keeping Fehr work better. I have to think that Fehr is the odd man out if they trade someone
Obviously, a lot depends on Wilson at forward and Orlov on D. I know what I prefer, Wilson back to Plymouth and Orlov winning that D spot, but I'm not a coach or team management, I'm a fan.
Even without Wilson, the Caps have 13F under contract counting someone like Volpatti as the extra skater, so I don't view it just about Wilson. Definitely a factor depending on what they are actually considering of course.
As to Chimera vs Johansson, not exactly the same player in the same situation. I haven't listened to the Oates interview. I've noted since end of last season that I thought Chimera could be odd man out for this season, not saying that's the team's view, it's my view looking at roster management - cap, lines, etc. I know some others I've spoken to view Ward as odd guy out. In terms of his contract and last year's performance (and health,) if that Fehr shows up, I don't see him as odd man out, but anything is possible.