Logic is simple - I don't think this offense is sustainable.
Look at the list I provided - plenty of high impact players have been taken in the 2nd round.
Speaking of logic - the logic of a rebuilding team keeping a 28 year old who offers the same things you can find in free agency every single darn year, escapes me.
If Komarov played on any other team, people here wouldn't be talking nearly as highly of him.
But lots of you are suffering from blue and white disease. He's a Maple Leaf. He is ours. And that is what is clouding your judgment.
A couple things.
Firstly, I don't think that there is anyone that doesn't think he's going to regress. He's not a 35 goal 60 point guy. But if he was a late 1st doesn't start the conversation, that player is worth more than JVR. But when projecting what he we will be you have to look in more detail. His assist rate is virtually unchanged from last year to this, a 20-25 point pace over a full season. His goal production made an unsustainable jump, fed by two things-increased hot rate and increased shooting percentage. The shot rate is sustainable, and while the shooting percentage will fall IMO it will be more likely in the 9-0 range than the 7, leaving a 16 ish goal pace. So a post regression 35-40 point player. Still worth a second.
Secondly, to me the concept of "you find him in free agency no problem" is flat out wrong, and shows a flat out lack of player evaluation within player "type". There are plenty of third and fourth liners in free agency, and those players have a wiiiide range of overall abilities, of which Leo Komarov is at the top. There are plenty of "grinders", but not many are as effective a forechecker, with as good of 200 foot game. Leo Komarov is a good hockey player that is also physical, it doesn't take blue and white disease to see that.
In free agency
there will be some players with comparable offense
there will be some players that play comparably physical
there will be some players that are effective with their physicality (not mindless bangers)
there will be some players that are as good defensively, on the pk,
etc.
The list players with all those things will be short, and that player will be desired and make as much or more than Leo. Players that are easily replaceable don't get valued for 1st round picks, unless you consider a poor substitute at comparable cost "replacement"