Peen
Rejoicing in a Benning-free world
- Oct 6, 2013
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This is also a smart comment by Jim to play coy here.
The problem is that Marky will be looking for a long-term contract. Some team may commit to giving him an NMC so that he doesn't get exposed in the expansion draft. I don't see Markstrom signing here without some sort of no trade protection at the very least. He's not going to re-sign here to be a one-year mentor for Markstrom unless we're offering him the most money.
Burke was hopeless at evaluating goalies here, he was hopeless at evaluating goalies in Toronto, he was hopeless at evaluating goalies in Calgary, and he remains so now that he's safely sequestered in broadcasting. Whatever assets and judgement he has, he just can't pick goalies. It's totally bizarre.My opinion is that Burke is terrible when it comes to making decisions on goaltending. He had this rule against drafting goalies in the first round (and was shocked that Nonis drafted Schneider). He once turned down a trade for Kiprusoff (the summer before he went to Calgary) because he thought a 2nd was too high of a price to pay. He also turned down a trade for Vokoun before he blossomed into a #1. Meanwhile, he was happy to trade a 2nd and a 3rd for Auld, Aucoin and a 2nd for Cloutier and has made other goalie acquisitions that did not pan out.
I'm a firm believer in having good goaltending. For me, I do believe that Demko, while likely suffering some growing pains along the way, is capable of being a top 15 #1 goalie in this league. Basically it comes down to Demko being younger and can be extended long term on a cheaper contract. As I mentioned in the past, if our core group is ever going to lead us to the Stanley Cup, the best thing to do is to attempt multiple runs with them. If we end up taking a step back for 1-2 years Demko will still be under 28. With Markstrom we would really be wasting the last of his prime years if we do take a step back. Given the likely impossibility of keeping both, unfortunately a tough decision needs to be made.
Thats the rub. They are gonna overpay him in term or AAV. Unless both goalies are playing awesome next season it would be tough to move markstrom when most teams are gonna have cap issuesnot a bad move actually, as we witnessed the past 6 weeks, lots of teams in a market for a goalie, however if benning makes this option, it means we only can sign one of Tanev or Toffoli though, also it's not gauranteed Markstrom can even be traded as we saw no one was willing to give Pittsburgh anything for Marc Andre Fleury.
not a bad move actually, as we witnessed the past 6 weeks, lots of teams in a market for a goalie, however if benning makes this option, it means we only can sign one of Tanev or Toffoli though, also it's not gauranteed Markstrom can even be traded as we saw no one was willing to give Pittsburgh anything for Marc Andre Fleury.
I was on "Team Schneider" too but realize that Luongo and his contract was untradeable (later proven wrong) so I eventually accepted the fact that we had to trade Schneider.There's not really an obvious answer here. My instinct would usually be to go with the younger, upcoming guy. I was on "Team Schneider" in 2013 in part because I was worried about a decline in Luongo's play over a long term and missing out on whatever Schneider was about to bring. But the allure of getting assets back by trading Demko versus letting a competent goalie walk and only gaining a bit of cap space means that it's not a slam dunk by any stretch. Again, the parallels to 2013 are pretty strong (UFA question aside), especially with how much Demko's career and developmental arc have resembled Schneider's. The Canucks probably wouldn't get a Horvat type player back, but we don't actually know what the market looks like.
I still think the bigger issue is them likely not wanting to be in a tandem scenario, much more so than the expansion draft.
This should be a win-won situation for the Canucks. But I have every confidence in our management to translate it into a lose-lose.
not a bad move actually, as we witnessed the past 6 weeks, lots of teams in a market for a goalie, however if benning makes this option, it means we only can sign one of Tanev or Toffoli though, also it's not gauranteed Markstrom can even be traded as we saw no one was willing to give Pittsburgh anything for Marc Andre Fleury.
Even at $6m a season, Markstrom would still be attractive to a team desperate for goaltending.
Demko almost got us to the western finals by himself... if Marky had played in any of those dominated games we would have been packing a lot sooner.
Demko is our goalie.
Cap space. If we can get out of of any of the guys with major term, and maybe bring back another asset, it's a win for us. Eriksson, Myers, or Beagle + Roussel. That's $6m and term that can go towards Markstrom.
As I alluded to above, you can get cap space from moving Demko. Trade Demko along with $6m of cap and you have money to sign Markstrom.
If you're able to use Demko to move out cap, it comes down to a decision of going with the potential goalie or the proven top ten goalie provided he signs for four or less years.
Shouldn't be much more than that to it. Also, I'd heavily weigh my opinion on whatever the goalie coach thinks if I were management.
Burke with goalies is like PoM with GM's - go with the opposite of what they say and you'll be fine.Burke was hopeless at evaluating goalies here, he was hopeless at evaluating goalies in Toronto, he was hopeless at evaluating goalies in Calgary, and he remains so now that he's safely sequestered in broadcasting. Whatever assets and judgement he has, he just can't pick goalies. It's totally bizarre.
I was on "Team Schneider" too but realize that Luongo and his contract was untradeable (later proven wrong) so I eventually accepted the fact that we had to trade Schneider.
In the current situation, strictly from an asset management point of view, trading Demko is the way to go. His value is at the highest after his heroics in the playoff. He is young, cheap and will still be a RFA after his current contract is up. He is what a rebuilding team like Detroit should aim for. If Kapanen can get a 1st and prospects back, I sure hope Demko can at least get the same. In the meantime we get to retain a #1 goalie that should still have a couple more solid years in him.
It isn't the best plan for the long term, but I feel that for the owner and the GM, they value short term success much higher than long term success.
I wonder what the Markstrom camp thinks about not having a NMC..?...Its not like Markstrom hasn't earned it, but with the Expansion Draft, and his age,..there is zero chance he can be given one.The more I think about it, the more I think we need to keep Markstrom if we can, but the key is term. Even if the cap hit is a bit higher we need to try and keep this deal to less than 4 years (age 34). This will still give us prime Markstrom during our contending window.
I'm very high on Demko, but I think it's too risky to take the gamble on him as a 1a starter and his concussion history adds to the risk. Recent bias is in full effect here as Demko was not consistent enough last season when Markstrom went down with injury. Compare to Markstrom who has a proven track record and he's been our MVP for 1.5 seasons. He's also a leader on this team and there's something to be said about building the team together. Even if we let Markstrom walk this off-season, we'd still likely need to spend 2-3 million on a veteran backup/1b option and when Demko is due for a a raise next year, we're not going to be saving much money on goaltending overall when we have to re-sign Hughes and Pettersson. It's only a short term savings for 2020-2021.
Here's a suggested approach to keep our options open:
- Try and sign Markstrom for as short a term deal as possible without an NMC (4 years x 6.5m).
- Give Demko an extra season to develop with an increased workload. Let him show you if he can handle it.
- Depending on performance next season we can either:
There's the potential the Demko only increases his trade value after next season as well which will allow for options to trade him as part of a chess move around expansion draft exposure.
- Expose Markstrom to Seattle for the expansion draft or trade him (if we feel comfortable with Demko's body of work) OR
- Trade Demko at the trade deadline or off season in 2021 (if we are not comfortable with how Demko has progressed).