4Twenty
Registered User
- Dec 18, 2018
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Pearson is only signed for next year.Tofolli will resign, guy loves it in Vancouver and Pearson’s one of his best friends, wife likes the city too
Pearson is only signed for next year.Tofolli will resign, guy loves it in Vancouver and Pearson’s one of his best friends, wife likes the city too
30 seems too young. But Toffoli likely commands 6-7 years. Not 4.Different style player, different position. And Bonino always has a soft place to land in your bottom-6 because of his defensive ability.
The list of Simmonds and Neals who have cratered out cresting 30 when their skating/motor broke is a long one. And Toffoli has barely been getting to 2nd line production in his age 24-28 years. He doesn't have to fall off much to become a liability, and he was nowhere to land down the lineup when he does.
If there's one Golden Role to signing UFAs, it's that you don't sign 40-50 point 2nd line types to term past the age of 30. It basically never turns out well.
Or how about we keep Boeser and Toffoli and finally have two top 6 RWers for the first time in a decade?
Tofolli will resign, guy loves it in Vancouver and Pearson’s one of his best friends, wife likes the city too
I also tend to think a very strong NTC would a requirement (as even though VCR is but a short flight to LA; being later traded across the continent is another). Offer him that at the expense of a lower cap hit.At his age of 28 like most ufas he’d want as long a term as possible. Easier to get a high dollar contract covering ages 32-35 when you are 28 than when you are 32.
The thing that matters is flexibility and asset value.I just don't want to sign him, period. No matter how good he is for the next 2 months.
You don't compete by bloating out your roster with huge contracts for 30-ish 45-point forwards.
Again, if you shift Adam Gaudette to the wing in the slot Toffoli is in now, what is the difference in performance and production between those two players? Does it even begin to cover the difference between the ~$1.5 million Gaudette will make next year and the $5 million+ Toffoli will command? And is it worth losing Tanev or Markstrom over?
You win by paying and retaining your core players and then maximizing value (especially internally) for the roster around them. Not by getting tunnel vision for non-elite UFAs. It's no different than not understanding that anything Jay Beagle adds doesn't even begin to cover the difference between $3 million for him and $800k for a Gaunce or Dowd.
Right now the organization has two players (Virtanen and Gaudette) who are out-performing their minutes offensively on small contracts. Gaudette is clearly not a #3 centre long term and will need to be shifted to wing. You win by extracting the most out of those assets when they're cheap, not by burying them behind guys who aren't any better at triple the cost. And that's why we're in the pickle we're in now.
The thing that matters is flexibility and asset value.
I agree with most of what you say conceptially but a good player with a good contract can always get a good return.
Just dont sign bad contracts and you can keep rolling assets forward. The biggest issue is legacy deals and NM and NT clauses without enough flexibility for the team to change directions. Toffoli signed with a limited NTC on a 3 to 4 yr deal similar to David Perrons is a smart move. Toffoli signed past 31 with a NMC at 6 million would be an instant black hole even with him being good for 2/3 yrs.
Toffoli is a trap that Benning probably would walk right into. Lets hope Gear gets this stuff dialed or they are in big trouble.
I don't disagree.
Sure, if you could sign Toffoli for 3 years/$10-12 million maybe you look at it. But I think we all know that's incredibly unlikely.
My issue right now with Toffoli is Gaudette. He's clearly a top-6 guy, clearly not a #3 centre, and clearly is never going to be more than a #3 centre here long-term with Horvat and Pettersson in place. It's clear as day he's a top-6 winger long-term, which is already where he's playing on the PP.
Given that he's scoring at a 45-50 point pace as a rookie in limited minutes, I think we can be pretty comfortable Gaudette could duplicate (or increase) that production on the wing next to Horvat or Pettersson next year. At $1.5 million or so. And if that's the case, why on God's green earth would we want to pay $5 million + for Toffoli - and box out our ability to sign Markstrom/Tanev in the process - to do the same thing?
Right now we have 5 guys (Miller, Boeser, Virtanen, Gaudette, Pearson) who will put up 40+ points in top-6 winger minutes, plus Josh Leivo if we re-sign him. That is more than enough top-6 winger depth. Spending $5-6 million on a Toffoli should be literally the last thing on our radar right now.
It's funny to see people LOLing at Toronto for splurging on adding a superstar like John Tavares to an already deep forward group while ignoring their blueline and team defense, and then clamouring for us to do the same thing with a vastly inferior player in Tyler Toffoli.
If there's one Golden Role to signing UFAs, it's that you don't sign 40-50 point 2nd line types to term past the age of 30. It basically never turns out well.
In a perfect world, all of your players are in their 20's. In reality, it's tough to build any kind of competitive team without taking risks on players into their early 30's.
Ideally we don't enter into a long-term contract with a goalie on the wrong side of 30. Ideally we don't do the same with a dman on the wrong side of 30 that has one of the worst injury histories in the NHL. Ideal only applies on paper, as sometimes you need to take gambles on good players, even though they come with risk attached. This is especially true with Tanev.
Toffoli is an extremely durable player that is on pace for the 2nd highest point total of his career. If he shows good chemistry with this roster down the stretch, and you can lock him up to a reasonable deal in that 28, 29, 30 and 31 year old age bracket, you have to try and make it work. Especially because it affords you the luxury of using forward assets to plug holes on the backend, something that won't be nearly as easy if he walks.
Who the Canucks prioritize out of Toffoli, Markstrom and Tanev should come down to how reasonable their demands are respectively.
How many points do you think Gaudette (a player you’ve admitted should be converted to wing) would score as a top-6 RW next year?
How many points do you think Toffoli would score in the same role?
How much different do you think their cap hit would be?
Travis Green wants Adam Gaudette at 3C. There is no other player ready to step into that role next year, so Gaudette will likely be there.
Production is usage dependant. If Toffoli is on the top line, I would guess he's in the ballpark of 60 points.
That opening sentence makes absolutely no sense at all. And ideals do not only apply on paper?In a perfect world, all of your players are in their 20's. In reality, it's tough to build any kind of competitive team without taking risks on players into their early 30's.
Ideally we don't enter into a long-term contract with a goalie on the wrong side of 30. Ideally we don't do the same with a dman on the wrong side of 30 that has one of the worst injury histories in the NHL. Ideal only applies on paper, as sometimes you need to take gambles on good players, even though they come with risk attached. This is especially true with Tanev.
Toffoli is an extremely durable player that is on pace for the 2nd highest point total of his career. If he shows good chemistry with this roster down the stretch, and you can lock him up to a reasonable deal in that 28, 29, 30 and 31 year old age bracket, you have to try and make it work. Especially because it affords you the luxury of using forward assets to plug holes on the backend, something that won't be nearly as easy if he walks.
Who the Canucks prioritize out of Toffoli, Markstrom and Tanev should come down to how reasonable their demands are respectively.
i dont think Gaudette or the Canucks see him as a winger. It's a moot point as far as i'm concerned.What do you think Gaudette would produce on the same line? Answer the question.
Why not sign/trade for a #3 C? Would cost a hell of a lot less than Toffoli.
And I disagree that Green wants a poor defensive C in the #3C spot. You actually think that?
What do you think Gaudette would produce on the same line? Answer the question.
Why not sign/trade for a #3 C? Would cost a hell of a lot less than Toffoli.
And I disagree that Green wants a poor defensive C in the #3C spot. You actually think that?
Because the Toffoli acquisition only makes sense in any capacity if it's another pro scouting home run like Miller.Given that he's scoring at a 45-50 point pace as a rookie in limited minutes, I think we can be pretty comfortable Gaudette could duplicate (or increase) that production on the wing next to Horvat or Pettersson next year. At $1.5 million or so. And if that's the case, why on God's green earth would we want to pay $5 million + for Toffoli - and box out our ability to sign Markstrom/Tanev in the process - to do the same thing?
Right now we have 5 guys (Miller, Boeser, Virtanen, Gaudette, Pearson) who will put up 40+ points in top-6 winger minutes, plus Josh Leivo if we re-sign him. That is more than enough top-6 winger depth. Spending $5-6 million on a Toffoli should be literally the last thing on our radar right now.
Now if the 'Double D' goalies Demko and Domingue can carry through to the finish line, then Jimbo has had a pretty decent trade deadline.
Maybe 20% less than Toffoli? Maybe 30% less? I have no idea, as Gaudette has never played on the wing. How much worse would he be defensively on that line? That is an equally important question. Would he be a liability? Does Toffoli allow you to go head to head with other teams top lines, while Gaudette would be a weak link there?
Travis Green has a defensively responsible, veteran centre playing out of position on right wing to keep Adam Gaudette at centre. When asked about it by Jeff Patterson, Green said he wants Adam Gaudette at centre. So does it matter what anyone else thinks, if Travis Green likes Adam Gaudette at centre?
Why would she work at all? If my wife is bringing home 5 million a year. I am only doing what I like whether it involves a paycheck or not. Likely she just kept working out of habit, now is a chance to buid a new reality that reflects that she is multi millionaire. All speculation as it is possible that she is career oriented and just using up vacation time to be with her husband before forcing him back to LA for her job that likely pays 100 times less a year than her husbands. Also, they are likely moving from LA no matter what as LA and Anaheim are not likely spots for him next year.
20-30% less than 60 points is 40-48 points. Adam Gaudette is on pace for 47 points from 12 minutes/game of garbage time with guys like Roussel as linemates. You think his production would go down if he was bumped up to 15-16 minutes/game on a top scoring line next to Pettersson or Horvat? Really?
Tyler Toffoli is not noted as a good defensive player, and - whatever defensive issues Gaudette has at C - most centres are competent defensive wingers when moved to the easier defensive position. I don't think the difference there would be significant enough to justify a $4 million difference in salary, do you?
This is a pointless response. We're arguing what the team should be doing, not what they are doing. I'm not arguing that they aren't probably going to try signing Toffoli and continue mis-using Gaudette.
You don't think Gaudette is a fit at C, due to his defensive play and the fact he's trapped behind Pettersson and Horvat. You've agreed he should be converted to wing. Don't cop out and hide behind 'Oh, well clearly they want him as a C' as an alternative to actually criticizing what they're doing when it doesn't agree with your position.