Aside from failing to appreciate the value of assets you are trading away, and assets you are getting back, the big killer is desperation.
We have many examples if both in our history , but so do other teams. Gainey was desperate to change team culture and get a centre, and Gomez trade happens. MB has been there and done that as we know. But we also know he has used situations to his advantage.
The next year is going to be interesting and present opportunities because of the usual suspects of Salary Cap, Internal Cap ( see Ottawa ), parity and Expansion Draft.
We have to be smart.
On the Expansion Draft if a guy has 2 years of North Ameeican pro experience he must be protected.
At forward we have Drouin, Danault, Gallagher, Lehkonen, Byron, Tatar and then Armia, Scherbak, Peca etc. You add in a player like Kotkaniemi this year then he will have the 2 years in and will need protection. Another reason to send him back home.
At D it's a really an issue with Weber, Petry, Mete and Juulsen. We don't want to lose any of these guys for nothing.
To me a smart play would be to trade Petry this year before the TDL because teams will be less focused on the expansion issue than they will next year.
At the same time, we have tons of young prospects that will not need to be protected, we could use them to upgrade from some team that really doesnt want to lose a guy of value for nothing.
And no, not everybody can just make a deal with Seattle. Dont count on it. There are teams who los t really good players to Vegas.
Salary Cap and Internal Cap. We know how this works and MB has used it to advantage. Ottawa got killed in the Karlsson trade and one reason is that any team trading for him needed to have an extra $11M or so after this season to try to sign him. So market was more limited for that reason. And if course Ottawas own internal budget was key. So MB needs to use this again. Petry example, retain, it's only 2 more years after this one.
Parity. This isnt a league of 4 or 5 teams being buyers at the TDL. There are many teams that will be involved. Current top teams, up and comers, ones taking a final shot, and teams so desperate to just get in, like the Oil, Canes and Florida. I think there will be a lot of buyers.
Desperation. Seek it, dont be it.
I really hit desperation talking about parity. If MB and more importantly Molson are set on the post season if there is any glimmer of hope, I think we get hosed. Desperation kicks in. There should be a glimmer by the way,. If Price is back in form you could add 10 points anyway to last season. So then no Petry trade. Instead maybe we move youth for vets. Not good.
Instead, if we just forget the play offs as a goal, no pressure and no desperation. Just look towards 2019-20. Take advantage of desperate teams.
Petry I think will be highly sought as a no.3 RHD. We will see about how Armia works out but he could be moved and others yet unknown.
Chaos provides opportunity as long as you can look in from the outside.