Toronto made a bad move several years ago because they overestimated where they stood. Do you honestly believe we're more of a lottery team rather than a contender? If not, and I hope that's your answer, then I wouldn't worry too much about the pick we'd be giving.
As for the guys you named on this team, all of them are long shots at solving our offensive woes (need I remind you that Fleischmann is on a tryout, so expecting him to fix our offense is... )
Also not sure why you're comparing their potential production to JVR's production on Toronto, the point would be to have his production as an addition on OUR team, so even if they did score as many as him, all the better for us, and if they don't, well at least we'd have a sure shot.
Sure, we can hope to pick a UFA that will be a temporary fix, but the idea is to look for a longer term solution. And yes that means paying more, but if we can avoid throwing picks left and right in the next few years thanks to it, it might be worth it.
I definitely know we're more of a contender VS a lottery team! (cheers!). I've been waiting for a CUP since 1993!! I was just using Toronto because they made very bad trades (and helped Boston) and I don't want to make these bad trades and help Toronto, contender or not (ex: I hope McDonagh will be our last bad trade for decades!!).
Imo, Bergevin could pull off some good trades without giving a Juulsen or a Scherbak (ex:
Jeff Petry + he was signed to several yrs, and...
Vanek, yes Vanek was useless in playoffs but that trade was worth the try at such a cheap price ; and
Weise is not JVR but he's still a good playoff warrior and we got him for free...soft-as-butter-Diaz should never be on a CUP contender! Bergevin will find a JVR while keeping our Juulsen...we might have to give up a 1st, but we shall wait and see what Bergevin can get...).
Semin (1.1mil),
Kassian (cheap RFA),
Fleischmann (PTO/tryout ; dirt cheap if signed): maybe I'm being too positive, but I believe that 2 out of these 3 can help our top 6-9, and for free or close to free!! IF it works out (IF)...Bergevin will look like a genius!! You don't have to overpay to have a sexy top 9 (especially when UFAs want to come to Mtl). Also, I would have taken
Glencross as a PTO/tryout (to strengthen our LEFT side), but Toronto beat us to it.
UFA 2016:
E.Staal or
Kopitar won't be short-term solutions...they will be long-term (4-5yrs+). July 1st (2016) is not that far away since time flies...we really should try to pick up a star/superstar player (ex:
Eric Staal or
Anze Kopitar and a
top 3-4 playoff warrior dman to help PK Subban, Petry, and Price in playoffs, etc). This 2016 UFA crops could be very important for our CUP run...I really hope most of them will be UFA and really hope we have a shot at 1-2 of them. I like JVR, but...we need at least ONE HUGE LEADER for our forward core. PK Subban and Price are our HUGE DEFENSIVE LEADERS. But, for our top 6...we don't have a Nieuwendyk, Gilmour, Kirk Muller, E.Staal for our top 6...this kind of leadership is very important (imo) for a CUP RUN. I really hope/think the 2016 UFA could really help us...1 or 2 BIG ufa stars may really want to join our Habs since we're going for it VERY SOON (and all this without giving up a Juulsen! win-win!!).
I'm a bit greedy...!! I want to win the CUP while keeping most of our star prospects and our 1st+2nd rnd picks, so we can be very good for a long time!! (it's not impossible! for now, I'm going to say that this is what Bergevin is trying to do...go all the way or as far as possible every year while trying to keep most of our star prospects). And the last thing I want...a major setback (one or two bad trades and we don't win a CUP could really screw us up and set us back awhile...look at what Boston did after winning a CUP...make all the wrong decisions! Seguin and Hamilton should still be there...). I'm hoping Bergevin is trying to build a dynasty (Chicago) or mini-dynasty (L.A.)...not just a quickie/flash-in-the-pan (Boston). Obviously I'd take a CUP but wouldn't mind winning a CUP and for success to continue, not just vanish quickly the year after.
I compared JVR's projected production (2016 season) to Semin/Kassian/Fleisch(PTO)...I made a mistake since JVR would be added to our lineup and his production would be ''in addition'' to Semin/Kassian/Fleisch(PTO). I think I was just trying to say we can find a cheaper solution (trade where we can keep Juulsen and get JVR production or similar production from another player that won't cost as much ; and there's always...UFA 2016!!). For example...if we can get Wayne Simmonds without giving Juulsen or Scherbak...I'd be a happy Hab fan!! but why give up star prospects when we can wait a bit and go for it for ufa 2016...we can dump salaries after January 2016...DD, Emelin,etc.
Cheers!
Go Habs Go!! (going for the CUP...now/2016 season? or 2017? 2018? 2019?).
p.s.: if
Dustin Byfuglien is also a UFA in 2016...I'd love to get him as a forward/dman (if price is right)...I still can't forget how he helped Chicago win their first CUP by dominating Chris Pronger. We need this kind of HUGE warrior for playoffs.