Top-5 scorers from each team 2021-22

[majormajor]

Unless Panarin is getting kidnapped by Putin with 10 games left in your scenario, you've done him a misservice.

Yes, Panarin is third only to McDavid and Draisaitl in scoring pace in each of the last two seasons. 114 pt pace both years. It's forecasting a steep drop off for him to fall back into the 80-90 pt range, and there doesn't seem to be any reason to forecast that.

 

[majormajor]

Our top scorer last year is being accused of betting against his own teams games right now...I don't really want to think about who's going to lead us now.

Kane is doing the Sharks a favor if he forces you into the Shane Wright competition.

 

[majormajor]

Without first unit PP time it’s highly unlikely and Edmonton had by far the best PP last year so he’s not seeing that unit. Not many 29 year olds improve their career high scoring pace by 15% especially when he’s already played with elite linemates. I mean anything can happen but we are trying to predict what is likely.

I don't expect Hyman to score more in Edmonton. But he might continue to see #1PP unit time. The netfront guy for the Oilers has either been Neal or Chiasson, and both are gone.

 

[summer tooth]

I find this for the Jackets to be implausible.

It's possible that Laine might bounce back and score 69 pts, but if he does that then someone is setting him up for a lot of goals. It's not going to happen unless Voracek or Bjorkstrand or Roslovic is getting a ton of assists and thus more points than shown here. I'd expect something more like:

Bjorkstrand - 63 pts
Voracek - 61 pts
Roslovic - 56 pts
Laine - 55 pts
Werenski - 52 pts

Laine gets back to 30 goals but he can't get much higher than that on this roster.

Yeah, I don't see Bjork leading the team in points 2 years in a row. Things could end up being so different next year. Someone needs to emerge as the leader of this team which is basically how I saw Dubois before the trade. I'm hoping it will be Voracek.

 

[majormajor]

Yeah, I don't see Bjork leading the team in points 2 years in a row. Things could end up being so different next year. Someone needs to emerge as the leader of this team which is basically how I saw Dubois before the trade. I'm hoping it will be Voracek.

Bjorkstrand is the offensive leader of the team.

He was the Jackets top scorer when he was injured in 2019-20 as well, he paced 60 pts and Dubois led the team with 49. That makes him clearly the Jackets top forward in multiple respects.

 

[M88K]

Best guess
Seguin
Robertson
Hintz
Klingberg
Pavelski/Radulov


Top 3 flirt with 70
Bottom 3 around 50.
Hintz misses part of the season with another injury

 

[Nickmo82]

Yes, Panarin is third only to McDavid and Draisaitl in scoring pace in each of the last two seasons. 114 pt pace both years. It's forecasting a steep drop off for him to fall back into the 80-90 pt range, and there doesn't seem to be any reason to forecast that.

Yeah. While it's not impossible, it seems odd to predict it.

 

[Number 57]

I find this for the Jackets to be implausible.

It's possible that Laine might bounce back and score 69 pts, but if he does that then someone is setting him up for a lot of goals. It's not going to happen unless Voracek or Bjorkstrand or Roslovic is getting a ton of assists and thus more points than shown here. I'd expect something more like:

Bjorkstrand - 63 pts
Voracek - 61 pts
Roslovic - 56 pts
Laine - 55 pts
Werenski - 52 pts

Laine gets back to 30 goals but he can't get much higher than that on this roster.

Laine can't create offense by himself?

I mean McDavid had 108 pts this year, Draisaitl 84 and the next best forward is RNH with 35 pts.

 

[Number 57]

I don't think this is way out there or anything, but it wouldn't be my list.

Backstrom was PPG last season and I expect him to be this season as well, his recent results in the 70s came because Kuznetsov was getting very significant time with Ovi which is unlikely to be the case this year. Ovechkin probably will edge him out just by a lot less than you have there, more like 84 vs 80 or something.

Oshie will certainly break 60. Wilson will be close to where you have Mantha as well.

Kuznetsov is a total wild card I literally have no idea what he'll put up next year. Neither 50 pts nor 100 pts would surprise me. I'd guess along these lines:

Ovechkin - 84
Backstrom - 80
Carlson - 65
Oshie - 65
Kuznetsov - ??? but probably in the top 5

Oshie has never scored this much in his career... and he is turning 35 soon

 

[bertuzzi2bure]

lol at mcdavid 150+ point predictions. more like 110-120

 

[majormajor]

Laine can't create offense by himself?

I mean McDavid had 108 pts this year, Draisaitl 84 and the next best forward is RNH with 35 pts.

Laine can't create by himself, yes.

He doesn't need a great pass, he can one time seemingly anything, but he needs some kind of pass. Laine is a bad puck carrier.

 

[Confused Turnip]

Oshie has never scored this much in his career... and he is turning 35 soon

I'm assuming he gets a full season. He's never had a full season in Washington. Only really came close once. But the last two short seasons he has stayed largely healthy and I'm just giving him the benefit of the doubt on 82 GP.

Oshie in his time with Washington:

Season	GP	Pts	Pace
2015-16	80	51	52
2016-17	68	56	68
2017-18	74	47	52
2018-19	69	54	64
2019-20	69	49	58
2020-21	53	43	67

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

I absolutely expect 60-65 range in a full season.

Edit: I'll add that he's got 300 pts over 413 GP with the Caps which is also 60 pt/82 GP pace, essentially all of that in his 30s.

 

[joestevens29]

Shattering his career high his by 30! pts.
Really??

If he could score in the 70's, we'd battle to keep him.
He's not better than Nylander.

I'm trying to wrap my head around Nurse with 78

 

[chirrrs]

DALLAS

Hintz - 82
Robertson - 74
Pavelski - 66
Seguin - 62
Radulov - 62

Gurianov could be in there too depending on how the lines end up all year.

 

[Sidney the Kidney]

From everything we have heard, Malkin is going to miss around half the season. Guentzel has basically been a PPG player for the last 3 years, thus I think you have him a little low. Letang hasn't slowed down and as long as he plays a decent amount of games, he will get more than 49. And if Rust plays with Sid & Jake most of the season he will be around .8 to 1 PPG, plus he is a UFA after the season.

My thought is:

Crosby - 92
Guentzel - 78
Rust - 67
Letang - 65
Carter - 57

Pens (Assuming all play 82 games):
Crosby - 88
Guentzel - 80
Rust - 58
Letang - 51
Kapanen - 49

I went back and forth with Carter and Kapanen. Kapanen played at around a 60 point pace last year, but that was when he clicked with Malkin. Without Malkin for most of the year, he probably drops 10-15 points.

 

[Sidney the Kidney]

Oilers

1. McDavid 154 points
2. Drasaitl 134 points
3. Nurse 78 points
4. Hyman 74 points
5. Puljujarvi 71 points

Is this back to 1980's scoring levels or something?

 

[summer tooth]

Bjorkstrand is the offensive leader of the team.

He was the Jackets top scorer when he was injured in 2019-20 as well, he paced 60 pts and Dubois led the team with 49. That makes him clearly the Jackets top forward in multiple respects.

You really can't just look at numbers and stats to understand what's going on here. If you want to go ahead and have a wager on whether he'll be the top forward 2021-22, we can set that up. I'll give you 3:1 odds that he will not be the top scorer in the upcoming season.

 

[Peat]

Pens (Assuming all play 82 games):
Crosby - 88
Guentzel - 80
Rust - 58
Letang - 51
Kapanen - 49

I went back and forth with Carter and Kapanen. Kapanen played at around a 60 point pace last year, but that was when he clicked with Malkin. Without Malkin for most of the year, he probably drops 10-15 points.

I feel like the winner between Carter and Kapanen (or even someone else) basically comes down to who gets Malkin's PP1 slot. And I kinda don't know how to predict that when the answer was McCann and now isn't.

 

[Dynamite Time]

Not going to guess total points but Stars…

1. Hintz
2. Robertson
3/4/5 in no order Seguin/Klingberg/Pavelski

Heiskanen, Radulov and maybe Benn get in there.

 

[majormajor]

You really can't just look at numbers and stats to understand what's going on here. If you want to go ahead and have a wager on whether he'll be the top forward 2021-22, we can set that up. I'll give you 3:1 odds that he will not be the top scorer in the upcoming season.

I guess he'll have to do it again for you to give him his proper respect.

I would take that bet if I was a gambling man, not that I expect to win the bet but I'd give it a 30-35% chance that Bjorkstrand leads the team in scoring again, which is the highest probability of any one player, and a bit better than your odds.

 

[Sidney the Kidney]

I feel like the winner between Carter and Kapanen (or even someone else) basically comes down to who gets Malkin's PP1 slot. And I kinda don't know how to predict that when the answer was McCann and now isn't.

Agreed. Whichever of the two gets that PP spot in Malkin's absence likely finishes higher.

I don't know which should. On one hand, Carter's probably more of a threat if they play him in the bumper spot or near the dots. On the other hand, Kapanen's probably a better zone entry guy to establish O-zone possession in the first place.

Given our personnel, it almost might be better to use Matheson on the other point for his shot and just go with two defensemen, because I don't think any of the other options are necessarily ideal at being the other point man who fires bombs from range.

 

[McJC]

lol at mcdavid 150+ point predictions. more like 110-120

The guy just scored 100 in 56...

 

[42]

From everything we have heard, Malkin is going to miss around half the season.

What's your source for this?

 

[Platano King]

Panarin- 103 (33G, 70A)
Zibanejad- 85 (41, 44A)
Fox- 73 (9G, 63A)
Lafreniere- 64 (24G, 40A)
Kakko- 57 (23G, 34A)

Although if we trade Strome, I wouldn't be surprised to see Chytil put up 60+ as 2C.

 

[GOALOFSSON]

BUF

3 Dalhin - 45

Seems awfully conservative.

He scored that as an 18yo and got 40 in 59 as a 19yo.

You do know that Krueger is gone, right?