seventieslord
Student Of The Game
Kind of surprised to see Dougie here. Anyone going to vote for him?
In my top-10? Yes, absolutely. I haven't worked out how high yet, but I'll definitely have room.
There is A TON to like about Gilmour here.
- He's arguably the best defensive forward available in this round (others may disagree about Francis and Ullman; it's possible to see those three in any order, they are reasonably close)
- He's got the 2nd-best Hart voting record of any forward in this round
- He's the best playoff scorer in this round (by 5-year playoff VsX, we have Gilmour 94.2, Blake 93.2, Ullman 89.4, Abel 87.0, Francis 77.8, Stastny 56.8, Bure 53.2, Iginla 50.8). In addition, his ratios in the playoffs are, like, all-time excellent.
- For those who like peak, he has arguably the greatest peak of any player in this round.
What's not to like? Not a heck of a lot, except that his peak regular season offense isn't great for this round. I think he gets screwed by a couple of bad benchmarks in a few of his best seasons, and that's the only reason he's not right there in that 85-87 pack with Stastny, Abel, Francis, Iginla, Blake and Bure, but VsX is sacred and the benchmarks have to be calculated a certain way, with no room for fudging or human intervention to correct its inadequacies, so let's just leave it. Even if it was fairer to him, he wouldn't be a standout in regular season offense.
Is Gilmour just the rich man's center version of Bernie Parent? So much of his legacy rests on two back to back regular seasons and playoffs. His hart voting mirrors Parent in those two seasons, too. It's arguable they delivered the same overall value in those two seasons.
But while Parent is a 2-year wonder, Gilmour is a three-regular-season-and-four-playoff wonder. Take away parent's two best years and he looks rather thin. To make Gilmour look rather thin, you either have to put him in a double OT playoff game and weigh him afterwards, or remove 1993, 1994, AND 1987, AND the 1986 playoffs, AND the 1989 playoffs.
And once you remove all that, what you have left may be somewhat comparable. In Gilmour's case you have seven seasons as an above-average #1 center, 18th-26th in points, with an excellent two-way game (1988-1992, 1997, 2000). In Parent's case it's seven seasons as a definitely above average starting goaltender 1968-1972, 1977, 1978). During that time, Parent was 5th in all-star voting twice and ignored (perhaps unfairly) in voting the other seasons. Gilmour, of course, as a center, was only a factor in selke voting those seasons.
Beyond those seven seasons, Parent has just a WHA season and some below-average NHL years to consider, where Gilmour has a 70-point season and multiple 50+ point seasons, including some that built the two-way reputation that got him onto arguably the greatest roster of all-time - where, it should be added, he performed very well.
It seems really easy to put Gilmour ahead of Parent, not necessarily by a lot, but clearly so. Not because he was better in his two-season peak or his whole prime, but because he has 86, 87 and 89 to hang his hat on, and plenty of early and late-career value-adds.
Hrumph... Gilmour ahead of Hawerchuk. Silliness.
No problem with Gilmour over Hawerchuk whatsoever.
I doubt Hawerchuk would get any traction after seeing how Stastny has fared.
You're absolutely right - I wouldn't consider Hawerchuk over Stastny for more than a moment, and Stastny is still in tough in this round.
@bobholly39
Francis' offensive numbers got a bit boosted by playing for an extended period of time (basically the whole 1990s) with Jagr in Pittsburgh (and to a less extended period M. Lemieux, PP wise). Despite this he couldn't hit 30 goals in a season but functioned as a second wave set up guy/defensive presence. Look at how Kovalev's stats took off when he joined the same party.
I'm not anti-Francis but he can't touch Fedorov's three year peak 1993–1996.
Yeah, don't forget that Francis is really unique in this round in that his offensive numbers in his very best seasons are hugely boosted by the superior players he played with.
A great fudge that someone came up wigh for VsX (sturminator, maybe?) was to treat secondary players on teams that "broke the system" differently by comparing their totals to those of the system-breaking players. I don't know if it was instituted for anyone other than the 1974 Bruins, but it would definitely apply to a player like Francis.
Doesn't it bother anyone that he gets the same scores for years that Jagr dragged him up into the top-10 in scoring, as Doug Gilmour does for the years he carried Nik Borschevsky, Dave Andreychuk and Wendel Clark to career seasons?
In 1995, 1996, 1997 and 1998, his point total should really be compared to that of the highest-scoring Penguin. This would make his scores 85, 84, 74 and 74. If I calculated correctly, he'd be at about 83.6 for his best seven years, which is a much more accurate reflection of his true offensive ability.
True- and valuable... but you know what else I noticed about that kong-donkey/garden-type-variety stiff? He was having his annus mirabilis, finishing 3rd in All-Star voting at the position, behind Dryden and Islanders Regular-Season stud Resch. By modern rendering, that would make that mediocity a Vezina-finalist.
Breezy, context-free quips are quite breezy, and ineffably context-free.
...perhaps it was easy playing goal in Philadephia from about 1973 to 1988.
Not "perhaps". It really was. Just about any goalie who attained strong statistics or award recognition in that period is now seen in retrospect as being overrated by their Philly years. It's possible Bernie Parent is an exception, but also... maybe he's not. That doesn't mean he was a Wayne Stephenson or Bob Froese level scrub, but maybe he was only a Vezina candidate caliber player, elevated to runaway vezina winner caliber for a short time.
One thing I've appreciated more throughout this project - how tough a standard the top 100 is.
Potentially all of Norm Ullman, Tony Esposito, Johnny Bower, Bernie Parent and Sid Abel will be excluded from our list (not to mention non-NHLers like Russell Bowie, Jiri Holecek and Alexander Maltsev). Before I sat down to write my initial list, I would have thought that all of them would make it. Ten or fifteen years ago it would have been crazy to suggest that none of these players would qualify.
I'll do a longer post when our list is finalized tomorrow night (or Monday), but we've been privileged to watch so many great players over the past decade, who have given us little choice but to push some excellent players from our 2007 list off of our current one.
I know many (usually younger) posters excitedly write things like "Malkin is top 30 all-time" on the main board. It's easy to make bold claims, but I don't think anybody fully appreciates just how tough a standard the top 100 (or 30, or 50, etc) is, until they sit down and actually try to assemble a list and are forced to make some tough choices.
I tell people something similar to this all the time.
That's an interesting opinion as the AHL scoring leader in 1966-67 was a 26 year old Gord Labossiere with 95 points.
The same player aged 35 in 75-76 WHA scored 55 points good for a tie at 59th in the WHA.
75-76 WHA top 10 scorers also look vastly more talented than 1966 AHL.
AHL 1966-67 League Leaders at hockeydb.com
WHA 1975-76 League Leaders at hockeydb.com
His best placing in the WHA was 9th in 72-73 aged 33.
I'm not sure what the point of this is. 35 years old is very different from 26.
To put it as simply as possible, if you assume that in 1967, all the best players from North America were in the NHL, and the next-best were in the AHL, and rosters were 20-man, then approximately the 300th best player in North America was filling out the 4th line RW spot on the shallowest AHL team. By 1977, you could also similarly assume that the best players were in the NHL, and the next-best in the WHA. Using a 20-man roster again, that means that the 600th best north american player was filling out the last job in the WHA, while the 300th would be an NHL role player or a very good WHA player. Sure, we can adjust those figures a little to account for the slightly larger pool feeding the leagues over ten years, but there's no way that 300th best in 1967 isn't still significantly better than 600th best in 1977. There should be little doubt that there were far more terrible players to exploit in the 1977 WHA, than there were in the 1967 AHL.
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