I've never ever thought about the Hawks not making the playoffs, no matter what changes they've made.
But assuming the Stars bounce back and the Jets keep on getting better, i think it's a real possibility next season. Central will be good next season, with the Wild, Preds and Blues being better than ever (as a trio). Minnesota had a franchise-best season and IMO they didn't really get much worse as Scandella was a #5 and Foligno is the type of player they needed more than Pominville IMO, BB is also a monster coach in the regular season. Preds figured out their identity and gained chemistry as the year progressed, Blues got better with a coaching change and Schenn trade (+ Fabbri will be back), and at the end of the day i can't see both of those teams struggling as bad as they did at times for 2 years in a row.
They'll still be able to score goals. I think Saad is a good player for them right now, to replace some of what Hossa brought, and get some more offense out of Toews. Kane produces with pretty much anyone, i think Sharp still has game left in him despite a tough year and all of their kids should be able to produce some.
But im really wondering how they'll look defensively. Hossa was still unique player for them, Hammer one of the best defensive d-man out there and Darling a solid backup. With Seabrook looking like he's declining, their back-end don't look that hot.
Keith
Seabrook
Murphy
Kempny
Rutta
Forsling
Roszival
This is arguably the worst defense in the Central not counting Colorado. It's very much at the same level as Dallas (Stars probably still slightly worse) but IMO the Stars have better offense for next season.
Honestly, the only thing the Hawks have going for them is the experience and pedigree. But at the end of the day, like we've seen with other teams (like the Kings for example) it does not guarantee anything. And let's not forget Hossa and Hammer was a big part of their winning culture.
Im very curious to see how the Hawks do next season, but this is the first time i legitimately think they could miss. Especially their depth on the blue line is scary thin if one of their top 3 guys gets injured.
Last season i remember they were able to win a lot of tight games, come back late and win in OT's. In fact they had the 3rd most OT wins in the entire NHL.
They were one of the 4 playoff teams that had more than 20 OT games during the season. Why i think this is relevant is that obviously to win those games the margin is very small. And they are very important. Not only because of the points, but for your team's morale. The difference between winning a game in OT and losing is significant moving forward, loss in OT can lead to another loss, win in OT and suddenly you win 2 in a row.
What im trying to say is, Hawks were already winning a lot of games last year that they could've easily lost and because of that were able to hold on to the momentum, if they lose a lot more of those or don't even get the games to OT's it could be a way different story. And by the way Hossa led the team with 7 GWG's and 3 OT goals. In terms of regulation wins they were middle of the pack for playoff teams at #9. All of this with a somewhat better team than what they will have in 17-18.