Chabot would be looking for more money I would think.
Trouba went for 7 years at 8 million after he potted his career high of 50 points last year. I know points are not how you evaluate players, especially D, but Chabot just posted 55 in only 70 games, his agent knows this.
Aho got 8.4 x 5 through an offersheet. The 5 years means he “should” be making less than on an 8 year term. Obviously the Matthews contract changed this landscape, so who knows in that regard.
Provorov’s camp is asking (won’t get) for 10 million a year, Chabot has a favourable bargaining level compared to him.
I’d think Chabot’s camp will be “asking” for 11ish over an 8 year term, but I can’t see them agreeing to terms below 9-9.5aav over an 8 year contract.
I’d expect they want what most/all high tier RFA’s are getting as well with huge % paid in bonus structure.
I'll be shocked if he signs for much less than 8.5 x 5 (give or take a few 100k). I don't see the logic in him signing for less when his agent just saw a player in a comparable situation (ownership with questionable ability to spend) get that offer sheet.
A few months ago, I would have called 5 years a disaster, but so much has changed with RFAs in such a short period of time. I don't think it will be a failure to get him signed to a mid term deal. We're going to see much more of that with RFAs going forward. It's going to be the new norm and not something that we can pin on our ownership's obvious shortcomings.
9.5M on an 8 year contract would be a home run. I'm basing that on what RFAs are doing now, so even know it really is well above all the past comparable contracts for top pairing ELC defenders, even just getting Chabot cost controlled at something reasonable for 8 years would make it a huge victory. I wouldn't have said that even a few months ago, but with how much has changed, if he'll sign that the Senator should do it.
6 years makes the most sense to me as a prediction for the term if we humour Melnyk and assume spending to "near" the cap and FYOUS starting in 2021 is an actual plan. It wouldn't make much sense to risk having Chabot become a free agent during our planned window. 6 years ensures he's here for the entire window.
I'd say 6 years for a bit more than Aho signed for. There will without a doubt be signing bonuses, because the agent of a superstar isn't going to risk making his player a buyout candidate. Especially since Chabot is under 26 and without signing bonuses could be bought out for 1/3rd of whatever would be remaining on his contract. I'd be surprised if we give Chabot the full bonuses. I could see something similar to Ryan's contract where he gets around a third of his salary in bonuses every season. It would be just enough to make him buyout proof.
