The 2019-20 Tank Command Thread - Part 3

[DJB]

Nearly same chance as winning lottery as making the second round of playoffs

If you believe that to be true then I have some beautiful ocean side property for sale in Nevada.

 

[DJB]

Zaitsev potentially being out long term helps the tank. He's played well considering the task of shutting down the opposing teams top players each night

 

[Silencio]

Sharks lose and Calgary wins - prettay, prettay good night for the tank overall.

 

[Crosside]

Zaitsev potentially being out long term helps the tank. He's played well considering the task of shutting down the opposing teams top players each night

It is confirmed he gonna be out

 

[Sensinitis]

Gonna be hard to out-tank the Wings, but I think we have it in us.

 

[Ice-Tray]

Gonna be hard to out-tank the Wings, but I think we have it in us.

No chance. Unfortunately for the tank we just don’t suck.

We lack skill and polish to finish our chances consistently, and we don’t have the skill for an effective PP yet, but we work to hard to suck worse than the truly bad teams.

 

[Sens of Anarchy]

It is confirmed he gonna be out

Any link?

 

[swiftwin]

Gonna be hard to out-tank the Wings, but I think we have it in us.

It's actually really close:

 

[Sens of Anarchy]

It's actually really close:

Can you explain how this is arrived at?

 

[Larionov]

Can you explain how this is arrived at?

Simple answer is that the 15% figure is a combination. It is our odds plus San Jose's odds because we own their pick.

 

[tardigrade81]

Sharks lose and Calgary wins - prettay, prettay good night for the tank overall.

Maybe Karlsson will realize he made a mistake going to that god forsaken team and come back. Stranger things have happened.

 

[DJB]

Good start to the night for the tank

3 point game for Hawks and Devils.

Habs win.

 

[Sens of Anarchy]

San Jose lose , Canucks win, Dallas winning,... San Jose back to looking like they could miss

 

[Satoru Gojo]

This Detroit is so bad they may never win again

 

[JD1]

San Jose lose , Canucks win, Dallas winning,... San Jose back to looking like they could miss

Oh they are beyond definitely looking like they could miss

I remember a few years back i looked at the impact of goal differential on making the playoffs. I dont recall the exact stats but it was something like over a 12 year span a positive differential was a 95% indicator of making the playoffs and a negative differential was a 95% indicator of not. SJ is negative 19 right now...nowhere close.... and we are getting beyond small sample size...i remember the 5% outliers being within 3 to 5 of goals of going from positive to negative or vice versa.

I was pretty surprised at how clear an indicator it was.

And the team with games in hand and a positive differential is Nashville

 

[TheDebater]

Oh they are beyond definitely looking like they could miss

I remember a few years back i looked at the impact of goal differential on making the playoffs. I dont recall the exact stats but it was something like over a 12 year span a positive differential was a 95% indicator of making the playoffs and a negative differential was a 95% indicator of not. SJ is negative 19 right now...nowhere close.... and we are getting beyond small sample size...i remember the 5% outliers being within 3 to 5 of goals of going from positive to negative or vice versa.

I was pretty surprised at how clear an indicator it was.

And the team with games in hand and a positive differential is Nashville

It should not surprise you all that much really. It is a pretty simple formula in sports; score more than the other team scores on you and, you will win the game. Win enough games= playoffs. Allow more goals than your opponents and you lose games; lose enough games= no playoffs.

 

[DrEasy]

Oh they are beyond definitely looking like they could miss

I remember a few years back i looked at the impact of goal differential on making the playoffs. I dont recall the exact stats but it was something like over a 12 year span a positive differential was a 95% indicator of making the playoffs and a negative differential was a 95% indicator of not. SJ is negative 19 right now...nowhere close.... and we are getting beyond small sample size...i remember the 5% outliers being within 3 to 5 of goals of going from positive to negative or vice versa.

I was pretty surprised at how clear an indicator it was.

And the team with games in hand and a positive differential is Nashville

The pythagorean!

 

[swiftwin]

Of course San Jose is going to miss.

They had a win streak playing some of the worst teams in the league at home for like the whole month. Big f***ing whoop.

 

[Nac Mac Feegle]

Dorion isn't going to backdoor luck his way into another lotto pick. SJ has a good chance of making the dance. And even if they don't, the odds of them winning a lotto slot is slim.

 

[JD1]

It should not surprise you all that much really. It is a pretty simple formula in sports; score more than the other team scores on you and, you will win the game. Win enough games= playoffs. Allow more goals than your opponents and you lose games; lose enough games= no playoffs.

What surprised me was just how reliable that indicator was

 

[Comely]

Dorion isn't going to backdoor luck his way into another lotto pick. SJ has a good chance of making the dance. And even if they don't, the odds of them winning a lotto slot is slim.

Regardless a pick in the teens is alot nicer then a pick in the 20s. If they scrape in and lose and we get the 18 that is almost ten spots higher then thier pick last year and in a better draft

 

[Tuna99]

Regardless a pick in the teens is alot nicer then a pick in the 20s. If they scrape in and lose and we get the 18 that is almost ten spots higher then thier pick last year and in a better draft

SJ has won I don’t know how many OT games, and scored in the last minutes to get these games to OT. That’s a classic indicator of an EK team, never in control of the game but never out of it.

SJ just loses so ugly sometimes they can’t make the playoffs. I think their game is what it is. And they’ll be on the bubble all season.

Burns is only playing 20 minutes a night, but since he his minutes have been reduced and EK is he ice time leader the team has been winning. So maybe Burns is injured or he’s better at his game only playing 20 minutes? All that being said is they have elite skill, just poor depth and goaltending. I don’t see them as a team that can sustain an injury to any of their key players

 

[Qward]

Pick	Team	Record	Pts	PPG	ROW	Streak	L10	Top 3	#1 Ovr
#1 up 8	San Jose OTT	15-14-2	32	1.032	13	Lost 3	5-4-1	16.0%	5.0%
#2 up 2	Ottawa	12-17-1	25	0.833	12	Lost 1	4-6-0	28.8%	9.5%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

 

[BonkTastic]

This Detroit is so bad they may never win again

Yeah... I actually don't think we can out-suck the Wings this year. We're going to have to bribe the Draft Lottery gods if we want the 1st overall pick, because Detroit aren't going to do us any favours in the standings.

That team is just objectively terrible.

 

[GCK]

Detroit may wind up with the worst record this century. They are unquestionably the worst team.