I assume less since the team is taking on a risk of an extra year. BTW this is pretty close to what I predicted and
@danielpalfredsson did not find realistic:
Player Discussion - Anthony Duclair
We all get it wrong sometimes.
Were you saying he would get that from an arbitrator, and I was saying he might get more from an arbitrator? If so, the dynamic is different.
I don't remember our exact conversation, but I do know I posted about how I felt he was a risk to get a high arbitration ruling due to his resume. Even before he got hot when the trade was first made, I posted that as something that might be a hitch in us qualifying him. I still stand by that he was at risk to get more in arbitration. He has strong on paper numbers that aren't reflective of what the previous market for him was (going unqualified by CHI, signing a cheap six figure deal with CBJ).
It's possible this was a scenario where the Senators were unwilling to qualify him and risk arbitration and presented him with the prospect of negotiating a 1 year deal instead without being qualified.
Regardless, this is a good contract for both sides. It's probably more than Duclair would have gotten if he wasn't qualified and became a UFA, but the Senators also get some cost certainty and avoid the risks associated with arbitration. It's also a 1 year deal, meaning if he's not a long term fit he's probably able to be moved at the deadline as a rental if there's a market for him. On a 2 year deal, that would have been trickier. If the Senators really like the player, a 2 year deal might have been better.