bcspragu
Registered User
I think the Petes are on the hook for 2 2nd's and a 3rd if Merkley plays in the O this year. They're not gonna trade him for LESS than they'll owe Guelph just to keep Merkley and SJ happy. I think there's a 33% chance he'd replace Wilde perfectly and rip apart the O from the blue line. A 33% chance he becomes a disruption and is released, wasting whatever was traded for him and a 33% chance he implodes the locker room. The reward is high but the risk is great. I'm not much of a gambler, I'd pass, but I'd be nervous if Saginaw acquired him on the cheap.
Heres the rub. The 2nd, 3rd, and 4th round picks Petersbourgh has to pay have to be paid if San Jose sends him back, that is essentially a sunk cost. There is absolutely 0% chance San Jose sends Merkley back to Petersbourgh and they force him to sit for a season because they wont move him because of the picks owed. Agents now scoff at sending thier clients to Petersbourgh, imagine if they literally hold a kid hostage for a year. Not going to happen. GMs know this and arent going to over pay more than they have to. Petersbourgh really over played thier hand by not inviting him back this season and letting this all blow up in the media. They are going to get pennies on the dollar they should get (because he is a good offensive talent) but every knows they literally have to move him.