He is actually very consistent the past 3 years. His pro-rated points are 51, 52 and 50 for the last 3 years including this one. Hard to be more consistent than that. That is very respectable production for being a rather bad team for those 3 years. He plays 1st PP an 1st line minutes, but he likely would on the Oilers as well. He'd play with either 29 or 97 at ES, and then likely get at least some looks on the 1st line PP, and certainly on our 2nd PP, although they don't see much ice. He has NOT depended on the PP for his points though these past few years. Over those same 3 years, he got 70%, 79%, and 82% of his points at even strength or short handed.
He is a legit top-6 player, who plays a good 200 foot game. He's not a world beater or anything, but he's "plug and play" for the top-6 that we need. The other nice thing is that with his cap hit, we could very likely keep him and RNH (or similar $6 M replacement player) for next season within our cap. A top 6 comprised of McDavid, Drai, RNH (or replacement), Rakell, Pulj, Yams is pretty darn good. That is a top-6 to stack up against almost any team in the league really. Maybe Toronto, Tampa Bay and Colorado could compete with that top-6, but I can't think of another team off-hand, and those 3 are considered serious cup contenders.
If Holland can get Rakell for a 1st and decent prospect, he needs to do so.