I'd like to hear from Ranger fans as to whether they really believe that Hayes, a UFA player that could very well walk at the end of June, is really worth the asking price of a first-round pick, a top prospect, and a young roster player.
... and if they don't what do they think is a reasonable return?
To me a top prospect could mean likely any prospect ranked in that team's top 4-5-6 or so prospects. A young roster player could mean like a 25-26 year old 3rd or 4th liner or bottom pair D, which is basically what Spooner was last year.
I don't think many Ranger fans think Hayes is going to return a 1st, that team best prospect and some great young roster player, or at least I don't think they should believe that.
My guess if Hayes alone goes as a rental without an extension based on last years deadline? (Yes I know markets can change)
-That teams 2019 1st
-Some okay prospect who has a potential ceiling of middle 6F bottom 4D (Lindgren)
-Something 2020 or 2021 conditional based on if Hayes extends with that team, like a 4th or 3rd that goes a round higher if he does (the rounds may be effected by which tier of prospect is included or if the Rangers send back a pick of their own)
-And that team likely can send back some relatively short term cap hit within reason if they have one they do not want. (Beleskey)
That is basically the Nash deal with some conditional stuff in there should Hayes extend as he is a candidate to do so more so than Nash was.
Yet I'm not convinced it will be Hayes alone going, I kind of think it may be a more complicated deal or maybe the Rangers give him permission to work out an extension with the trading team prior and that would change things based on his next contract.
Rangers have a ton of stuff to move around, they have cap space for this and next season, they have all their picks to swap around need be, and they have two retention spots left. If Hayes alone is not getting the return they are looking for it at least appears to me they have a bunch of chips to splash around with.