theoriginalBCF
Registered User
- Jan 29, 2018
- 637
- 352
Well let me be very clear... I’m not a homer. I’m not a Pom Pom cheer leader. I’m not a “John Garret” Canucks fan (no offence John). I am first and foremost a hockey fan. I have watched hockey, much like all of you have, for 35 years.
I borrowed the format from OEL for Norris. I would +/- goals by 3, +/- assists by 5, +/- points by 10.
I see this season as the first of that next era we’ve been waiting for since 2013 and losing in 4 straight to SJ.
Before I get into predictions a couple things... I can’t fathom this team being as injured as they have the last 3 seasons. In almost everything I’ve read, injuries are now an accepted prediction. So and so will miss 30 games, and I’m talking main roster guys.
PC, I respect your insights greatly! I pondered over what you said. I disagree about Pettersson, Dahlen, Gaudette, Juolevi. If they show they can play at the NHL level, they will move vets. I believe this.
So my predictions are based on 3 assumptions, which are realistic. Less injuries, 4 rookies, and the most importantly they are in a declining division! LA, Anaheim, Edm, Cgy, even SJ. The gap has closed.
Baertschi (21G 34A 55Pts 80Gp), Horvat (27G 43A 70Pts 82Gp), Boeser (36G 39A 75Pts 82Gp)
First line totals: 84G, 200Pts
Eriksson (21G 23A 44Pts 78Gp), Pettersson (26G 47A 83Pts 79 GP Calder candidate), Dahlen (18G 21A 39Pts 75Gp)
2nd line totals: 65G 166Pts
Roussel (12G 13A 25Pts 75Gp), Sutter (12G 12A 24Pts 80Gp), Virtanen (18G 17A 35Pts 78Gp)
3rd line totals: 42G 74Pts
Schaller, (5G 6A 11Pts 68Gp) , Beagle (8G 13A 21Pts 70Gp), Grandlund (7G 10A 17Pts 67Gp)
4th line totals: 20G 49Pts
Leipsic (7G 12A 19Pts 24 GP Utica bound) Gaudette (5G 7A 12Pts 17GP starts in Utica plays full time by years end)
1st line was playing number 1 d’s for 30 games last season, so I have zero concerns here. Boeser may honestly have the best writer in the game, behind just Ovi and Laine. Horvat is always getting better, and Baer will have a relatively injury free season, driving the Canucks.
2nd line: new Swedish line. Alien makes Ericksson feel & look young again, while Dahlen steals a spot pushing Gagne, Goldobin off the roster and into a trade.
3rd line: solid 3rd line which can be used in multiple situations
4th line: better than Motte, and the other crap we’ve had which should reduce the GA
(I think OEL for Norris predictions are pretty good tbh... but I think with Edler...)
Edler, (3G 21A 24Pts 55Gp, demoted to 2nd line PP, major injury) Stecher (12G 25A 37Pts 78Gp 1st line PP breakout year)
Juolevi (5G 17A 22Pts 67Gp 2nd line PP)
Pouliot, (3G 16A 19Pts 47Gp battles with Hutton for this spot) Tanev (1G 22A 23Pts 65GP 65 games is a win)
Del zotto, (5G 14A 19Pts 60Gp his decline will force coaching move and possible trade)
Gudbranson (5G 13A 18pts 77Gp shows better with injuries behind him)
Hutton (7G 17A 24Pts 57Gp re-establishes himself as an everyday d man by 1/3rd Mark)
Hughes (3G 13A 16Pts 9Gp comes up with 9 games after NCAA season, and rips it up making the PP a monster
Def totals: 44G which is far better than last season. Boeser and Pettersson will on the pp make the def look better. Hughes late season makes a huge difference.
I lumped shoot out and otl into losses
Markstrom - 32Gp (29 started) 19W 29L 0.905SV% 2.27GGA 2SO
Nilsson - 21GP (18 started) 10W 11L 0.910SV% 2.55GAA 1SO
Demko - 31GP (29 started) 21W 10L 0.919SV% 1.98GAA 3SO
So I know it is 79 starts total, between them, but I strongly feel by 2/3 mark injuries to both Markstrom and Nillsson will force Demko to play, and he doesn’t let go of the reigns.
Overall the Canucks score total: 262 goals, 227 against, a modest +35
Here’s the thing... the Canucks might have lost 140 points, but they also lost (and I love the Sedins) 3 combined -60 players! Minus 21, 27, and 12 respectively. Yes that’s right MINUS 60. That is the difference combined with injuries that will see this swing in goals against vs goals for.
Folks I love the twins, but the last 2 seasons they were atrocious defensively and easy to be scored on. That is gone. Young hungry players that played in a defensive league the SHL will make up a huge chunk of that minus 60 along with a bottom 6 that is way better than the last 3 seasons of Megna
Prediction: 43 wins 32 losses, 5 otl, 2 SOL, 93Pts, 7th in conference, playoffs 5/6 game loss to Vegas in round 1
They cannot be as injured. They will be harder to score against. Demko is ready. Pettersson/Dahlen/Ericksson will be the talk of the “depth” of the Canucks, but Hughes will help them in a late surge to win 7 of 9 pushing them into the playoffs.
And all you’ll hear from from anyone is “who saw this coming”.
And if I’m wrong I’m wrong. But I won’t be on this one.
I borrowed the format from OEL for Norris. I would +/- goals by 3, +/- assists by 5, +/- points by 10.
I see this season as the first of that next era we’ve been waiting for since 2013 and losing in 4 straight to SJ.
Before I get into predictions a couple things... I can’t fathom this team being as injured as they have the last 3 seasons. In almost everything I’ve read, injuries are now an accepted prediction. So and so will miss 30 games, and I’m talking main roster guys.
PC, I respect your insights greatly! I pondered over what you said. I disagree about Pettersson, Dahlen, Gaudette, Juolevi. If they show they can play at the NHL level, they will move vets. I believe this.
So my predictions are based on 3 assumptions, which are realistic. Less injuries, 4 rookies, and the most importantly they are in a declining division! LA, Anaheim, Edm, Cgy, even SJ. The gap has closed.
Baertschi (21G 34A 55Pts 80Gp), Horvat (27G 43A 70Pts 82Gp), Boeser (36G 39A 75Pts 82Gp)
First line totals: 84G, 200Pts
Eriksson (21G 23A 44Pts 78Gp), Pettersson (26G 47A 83Pts 79 GP Calder candidate), Dahlen (18G 21A 39Pts 75Gp)
2nd line totals: 65G 166Pts
Roussel (12G 13A 25Pts 75Gp), Sutter (12G 12A 24Pts 80Gp), Virtanen (18G 17A 35Pts 78Gp)
3rd line totals: 42G 74Pts
Schaller, (5G 6A 11Pts 68Gp) , Beagle (8G 13A 21Pts 70Gp), Grandlund (7G 10A 17Pts 67Gp)
4th line totals: 20G 49Pts
Leipsic (7G 12A 19Pts 24 GP Utica bound) Gaudette (5G 7A 12Pts 17GP starts in Utica plays full time by years end)
1st line was playing number 1 d’s for 30 games last season, so I have zero concerns here. Boeser may honestly have the best writer in the game, behind just Ovi and Laine. Horvat is always getting better, and Baer will have a relatively injury free season, driving the Canucks.
2nd line: new Swedish line. Alien makes Ericksson feel & look young again, while Dahlen steals a spot pushing Gagne, Goldobin off the roster and into a trade.
3rd line: solid 3rd line which can be used in multiple situations
4th line: better than Motte, and the other crap we’ve had which should reduce the GA
(I think OEL for Norris predictions are pretty good tbh... but I think with Edler...)
Edler, (3G 21A 24Pts 55Gp, demoted to 2nd line PP, major injury) Stecher (12G 25A 37Pts 78Gp 1st line PP breakout year)
Juolevi (5G 17A 22Pts 67Gp 2nd line PP)
Pouliot, (3G 16A 19Pts 47Gp battles with Hutton for this spot) Tanev (1G 22A 23Pts 65GP 65 games is a win)
Del zotto, (5G 14A 19Pts 60Gp his decline will force coaching move and possible trade)
Gudbranson (5G 13A 18pts 77Gp shows better with injuries behind him)
Hutton (7G 17A 24Pts 57Gp re-establishes himself as an everyday d man by 1/3rd Mark)
Hughes (3G 13A 16Pts 9Gp comes up with 9 games after NCAA season, and rips it up making the PP a monster
Def totals: 44G which is far better than last season. Boeser and Pettersson will on the pp make the def look better. Hughes late season makes a huge difference.
I lumped shoot out and otl into losses
Markstrom - 32Gp (29 started) 19W 29L 0.905SV% 2.27GGA 2SO
Nilsson - 21GP (18 started) 10W 11L 0.910SV% 2.55GAA 1SO
Demko - 31GP (29 started) 21W 10L 0.919SV% 1.98GAA 3SO
So I know it is 79 starts total, between them, but I strongly feel by 2/3 mark injuries to both Markstrom and Nillsson will force Demko to play, and he doesn’t let go of the reigns.
Overall the Canucks score total: 262 goals, 227 against, a modest +35
Here’s the thing... the Canucks might have lost 140 points, but they also lost (and I love the Sedins) 3 combined -60 players! Minus 21, 27, and 12 respectively. Yes that’s right MINUS 60. That is the difference combined with injuries that will see this swing in goals against vs goals for.
Folks I love the twins, but the last 2 seasons they were atrocious defensively and easy to be scored on. That is gone. Young hungry players that played in a defensive league the SHL will make up a huge chunk of that minus 60 along with a bottom 6 that is way better than the last 3 seasons of Megna
Prediction: 43 wins 32 losses, 5 otl, 2 SOL, 93Pts, 7th in conference, playoffs 5/6 game loss to Vegas in round 1
They cannot be as injured. They will be harder to score against. Demko is ready. Pettersson/Dahlen/Ericksson will be the talk of the “depth” of the Canucks, but Hughes will help them in a late surge to win 7 of 9 pushing them into the playoffs.
And all you’ll hear from from anyone is “who saw this coming”.
And if I’m wrong I’m wrong. But I won’t be on this one.