If they play like they played against San Jose, I see a chance against almost every opponent. I know they lost that game, but when you play a game like that on a regular base, you will win more than you will loose.
They were visibly quicker, faster on the forecheck, and pinched more than any game in recent memory, which aided their possession time. They won't be as successful at that against the islanders for instance if that's the eventually matchup which it's looking like it will be, who are even quicker and more aggressive on their pinches, based on every game they've played against them this season.
Place those results into the context of a 7 game series and I don't see any legitimate expectation for pitt to win that series, and their star player is hotter than either of pitt's atm. Outside of health and defensive play (probably canceled out by their lack of scoring recently) nothing is really in their favor atm.
I think NYI and NYR are the two teams that will really take it to us in the playoffs and they are likely to be our first 2 opponents. If we can get our powerplay going, we're better than even against NYI and close to even against NYR.
Well a) there's no reason to expect them to flip the switch on the power play once the playoffs start, and b) nothing about any of the games against both teams this season indicates pitt is better than either, let alone even, and especially after nyr's current stretch.
^^ This is the answer. We can beat anybody. We can lose to anybody. We are going to have to see what Pens team shows up for 7 games and if MJ can actually adjust in a playoff series.
Wide open. Isles/Rangers/Caps all would be slightly favored over us. I fear the Isles the most. That speed overwhelms the Pens and they end up playing like ****. They take the boards away and just dominate us.
But is it really? Because Pitt isn't the one at the top of the conference this season? Outside of not going on a 15 game win streak, the current rangers past 30+ games is better than that of the "All-In" pitt team that lost to boston, which was mistakenly regarded as far and away the eastern favorite at the time. Yeah there's more strong teams in the east this season comparatively, and there's not a lot of points separating most at the top right now, but that's going to change by the end of the season. The rangers not only now have the best record overall, but also the best record in the past 30+ games (meaning how they're most likely to play going into the playoffs), the best roster top to bottom after the trade deadline, and most importantly are balanced both offensively and defensively. Most of the eastern playoff teams excel at one aspect, the rangers excel at both.
It's not wide open, there's a clear favorite, and there's no objective based reason to believe pitt has any chance against them, let alone the islanders or probably capitals either (though out of the 3 I'd venture wsh would be their best chance). And no, just because boston swept those "All-In" pens regardless of regular season record doesn't mean it's likely at all to be indicative of any future matchups for completely different teams. You're basically leaning on both stars returning to their 30+ point playoffs forms out of the blue, kickstarting the powerplay out of a half-season funk, while maintaining their top-5 defensive play, to maybe take a team like the rangers to 7 games with a chance for an upset. Not only is that an awful lot to pin your hopes on happening all at once, but there's no current hint that any of that is even going to happen.
This isn't pessimism or being contrarian to troll the board, it's reality. Could they win it all? Sure, but it would most likely take more fortuitous bounces, matchups, injuries to opposing teams, etc. far outweighing that of what the 09 team benefitted from, it's just not at all reasonable to expect based on any objective evidence from the majority of this season.