Nice! Didn't know that's a filter. Will try to use that this year then.
Goals by period and leading/trailing.
I don't have the deep dive numbers, but no ZAR and Boyle may hurt. Boyle did a really good job with his reach and breaking up passes near the point.
ZAR played better on the PK than he ever has before. If they make the right choices with their replacements then we may be fine, but we'll see.
I would personally put Rakell on PP1 and use Rust on the PK full time. At least that should be tried.
I know people want Kap on the PK but I looked at his numbers there with Toronto and they're not that special. He was mediocre. Maybe worth a shot but my expectations would be low.
The problem with relying too much on individual PK stats is that they don't tell you who they're against (unless you want to dig real deep). Two guys can post the same numbers and be actually very different in performance depending on whether they're against PP1 or PP2.
F'instance I just realised nobody scored a goal against our PK the entire time Blueger was out there without McGinn - and we're talking an hour of play here - but what does that actually mean?
So ZAR did have the best chance metrics of any regular PKer along with Carter... but they're joint 4th choice, how much of that is against PP1? In any case, he didn't outperform the chance metrics like a lot of our PKers.
Boyle's metrics were kinda meh - 2nd highest xGA behind McGinn - and he has the highest GA/60 by nearly 2, so I'm not sure he's going to be a big loss... except if it means Carter getting more time due to his faceoffs.
In any case... I'm not 100% sure we won't miss them, but I believe a competent PKer will fit in well, as they're getting good coaching.
Yes, we're overly reliant on streaks around winter time. That's been a common trend in the Crosby era.
The preserving energy thing is a good guess too. Our really poor HDCF finishing got in the way of going for the jugular. I'm hoping that balances out this year.
I feel like it was less of a thing before the stupid injury crisises and we were more of a March team.
Yeah but if you look at it as a whole, if CDS did that then he's likely around .920 to end the year. That's a big expectation from a backup making peanuts.
If he ends up around .915 again then that means at some point in the season he turns it up to compensate for other losses.
Yes, consistency is optimal in hockey but that's just not the reality. The players have emotions. They are susceptible to getting caved in when vibes are bad and the confidence is low. It's gonna happen. Not really possible to be in the same headspace every game.
I felt CDS salvaged his season nicely...well until the injury lol.
I know it's not the reality, but it's the aim. He could have had a more stable .914 due to less fantastic games when he came around and less awful games when he was awful.
Or, hell, yeah, he could just post a .920 season. Big aim, but he's done it before.
Whatever he does, I think it's a fair expectation he shouldn't be so awful we don't dare play him for half the season. It'll happen occasionally during his career, it shouldn't happen every season.
edit: Actually, for a better look at what I want from DeSmith, look at his 18-19 season. His percentage was .916, so fairly small difference, but his quality start percentage was at .6 rather than .5. Quality starts are what I want from the backup.
He gets .55, I'm happy. He gets .5, I'm probably a little ho-hum.
