I guess we continue to disagree about Oshawa's deadline moves. You see them as great and I see them as lateral moves especially for next year. Further I don't see them as head and shoulders above us. Imo we have an edge in goal and the D corps are a wash. I give them a slight edge up front. Don't forget they are losing Saigeon, Salinitri, Eggenburger Mattinen and most likey Keyser plus 3 other 19 y.o. by my count. That's a lot to replace! I really don't feel we're far behind for next year.
Anyway if all we could get for Wilson/Okhotiuk are thirds I do like your idea of shopping Bahl as he could bring back a lot. Would still leave us wit a D of:
Okhotiuk/Rippon
Wilson/Hoef
Peric/Belanger
1rst/2nd picks
Assuming we get Hoef back which started this discussion. If not a top four of Okh/Rip/Wil/Per is stll pretty good and I think with a few adds up front we can compete with Oshawa.
The mistake many make is looking at what a team doesn’t have as opposed to what they do have. Oshawa has a lot of firepower coming back next year and a lot of it is top end.
Brett Neumann will return as an OA and should be top 10 in scoring.
Seron Noel may challenge for MVP.
McShane, Tullio and Antropov are all high end forwards.
They return their entire defense except Mattinen.
Keyser more than likely graduates but they will be able to find a goalie, probably in the Import draft.
They have a boatload of picks to help fill the rest of their roster.
Their moves this year were brilliant in my mind. They didn’t have the pieces to really put themselves ahead of us. So, they made a few sideways deals to replace the big guns they traded away and they did it by acquiring the OA’s on the cheap like we did. Then they used guys like Studnicka to acquire solid kids and picks that will be part of this group for a long time. The Brett NEumann deal was great too. It wasn’t likeNick Wong was anything special and Neumann replaces the scoring lost by Studnicka, who wouldn’t have been back next year while Neumann returns as an OA.
Considering they would have had to make the Suzuki-Durzi deal plus the Neumann deal and keep Studnicka etc to compete with us and Niagara with no real advantage, the next best alternative for them was to offset this year to next year and they did that. Plus they didn’t completely sell the farm so they see round two and give their team a chance at some needed experience. If Keyser can be stellar, maybe they even see round three.
They will go into next season as the favourite. Ottawa isn’t far behind of course but I doubt this management group will empty their cupboards to keep pace with Oshawa next year.
For Ottawa to compete at the highest level next year, they will have to make some serious decisions with respect to their future. They will have to commit to playing out all their 19 year olds. They may have to dangle their 2019 1st pick as well as the remainder of their 2nds.
We were fortunate this season was a buyers market. We cannot expect that to be the case next year. If it is a sellers market with teams like London in buy mode, it will inflate the prices to their usual level. That means the acquisition of a significant forward to replace the likes of Felhaber, Clark or Chmelevski will cost us the 2019 1st or four 2nds plus other picks.
We won’t have the luxury next year of open OA spots to fill key positions on the cheap like we had this year. Those spots are already accounted for with Keating and Wilson nailing down two of them. Both of our Import spots are filled as well so no added infusion there. It means we will have to compete on the open market for the stud 19 year olds.
To me it makes much more sense to shift forward a year and anchor our roster based on another two year window with a minor sell off next year that would still see us probably win a round in the playoffs. The foundation of our roster that season would look like:
Bitten (OA)-Rossi-Quinn
Crete-Tolnai-Clarke
Yule (OA)-Import-Maggio
Rippon (OA)-Peric
Belanger
Andree
Cranley
We have 8 picks in the top 100 this year that will be entering their 17 year old season. We have a few NCAA commits that may be able to be signed going into that season if their experience at school isn’t what was expected OR they are high NHL draft candidates and their NHL teams want to fast track them through Major Junior. Plus we’d have the player and pick capital from dealing Hoelscher and Bahl.
To me, that is a solid plan provided this year’s draft goes well and the players show well at training camp to give them a solid foundation from which to continue to build.
With 8 picks in the first 100 this season, they would all be 17 years old and be eligible to be traded that season as well. We all know there will be a bit of a log jam for those skaters so it is likely we would be able to dish a couple of them off to bolster that roster. That was something that handcuffed us this year. We managed to trade off the rights to two NCAA commits but the only 17 year olds we had were far too important to our roster to deal.