Drivesaitl
Finding Hyman
History says he'll probably fail. But what would you peg his chances at? How good of a chance does he have to have in order for this to be a worthwhile bet? How much does him failing hurt the franchise, vs. how much does him succeeding help? Who (other than Francouz, who I don't remember anyone mentioning before the Avs signed him) is a better bet?
I never mentioned Francouz.
I read your previous post. I don't agree that this being a 10 percent chance that this Koski contract pans out being a good thing. Really at this point or any point Chia should be playing 50-50 ball and particularly at 2.5M. Its moved far beyond the point of taking long shots. The reason that this is getting so roundly criticized though is due to Chia's past record here of getting goalie backups. He's struck out at least 4 times and the team has suffered through 3 seasons of Talbot not having adequate backup. That IS the context.
Myself I see this as maybe a 25 % chance Koski will be good here. Less that he will cover his contract pay in games or worth. If he hits 25 games at this price he's maybe covering the bet but only if those games are getting good goaltending.
I see not even a 10% chance that he pushes Talbot or replaces him.