You're right, I was thinking backwards. That's what I get for posting just after waking up from a nap. Lol.
That said, I still think it's basically the league office (and therefore the other owners) telling the A's they want them to move to Vegas.
There's long been a school of thought that the A's moving to Oakland in the first place was a bad move that should never have been allowed. That it undermined the Giants at a particularly vulnerable time (when the honeymoon period has ended but before the team has really settled in as a local institution) which pretty much took until the opening of the new park to recover from. That abandoning KC suddenly lead to political blowback forcing the hurried expansion by four teams in 1969 instead of the originally planned two (with two more in 1971), which had knock on effects of the disastrous failure of the Seattle Pilots, which in turn lead to more lawsuits and political issues leading to earlier than expected addition of the Mariners. All for playing to mediocre crowds in a poorly designed, even more poorly maintained dump. It's clear MLB doesn't want the team there anymore, and never really did.
The general stance of all the leagues is that they will back the team getting a free stadium from taxpayers. MLB is saying "No relocation fee" and "the A's will move without a stadium" just like they've said for everyone (and the NHL has, too).
But the Bay Area being a two-market team is ideal for baseball, and changing that now would be bad. The Giants being "vulnerable" is silly. The Bay Area is a massive market. It's the 5th CSA, but really bigger than that because places like Sacramento and Fresno aren't included but ARE in their TV footprint/fanbase.
Look at the Red Sox. The Red Sox are rich -- despite playing in a 100-year old stadium. But Boston's MSA is smaller than Dallas, Houston, Washington, Philly, Atlanta, Miami and Phoenix.
Buf if you look at CSAs divided by teams, the Bay Area is third. Boston is fourth.
The Top 8 CSAs (36% of teams) have produced 25 of the last 44 teams to play in the World Series (57%).
Boston acts richer than their CSA because in addition to it, all of New England (13 million people) has NESN is on their TVs, and the Sox get TV money from their viewership.
Well, Sacramento and Fresno aren't in the Bay Area CSA. Neither is Reno or Northern California. But they're in the Bay Area TV market. That's about 19 million people.
If the A's leave the Bay Area, the Giants, over time, are going to be come a lot stronger than the Red Sox. Because the Giants don't have a 100-year old stadium, and will have like 6 million more fans.
Of course it won't happen overnight that all the old A's fans become Giants fans. But how many BRAVES fans are left in Boston? The Braves left in the 1950s, and by 2000, there were no Braves fans left.