It feels to me like the Preds "knew all along", in some non-tamperingesque common knowledge way, that they'd have a very very good chance of landing Duchene. Like, near certainty. From long before July 1st or this trade. So they knew they were going to have to clear cap. And at the same time, I got the sense from Subban's exit interview comments that he knew it too and that he was pretty ok with moving on and probably told the Preds that. So the Preds weren't really looking at any other way of clearing cap either, and that pretty much fits with the whole May-June rumormill of Subban being on the block. Trading Subban was basically a built-in part of the Duchesne signing for us.
I happen to think the Preds could have been a much stronger team if they had found other ways of clearing the cap space - we have $3M unused right now and Turris is $6M of relative inutility, so that right there is a Subban. But by mutual accord, it sounds like nobody was even looking at any other avenue.
Santini was only ever a minor cap dump, so him being waived means nothing. I think Davies may turn out to be the biggest return in the deal, bigger than the 2nds. Although they turned last year's 2nd which was pretty high at #34 into a later 2nd and a 3rd and we like Afanaseyev a lot so far as the first returns on that pick.
From the Nashville perspective we are only EVER going to look at this deal hand in hand with the Duchene signing. It's all part of the same thing to us. Davies, two seconds - that became two 2nds and a 3rd so far AND Duchene. Even the biggest Subban fans amongst us are in favor of this deal. But hey, it can be win-win too, as the Devils are getting what they wanted and didn't have to give up prime assets for a #1D. It's great all around, I'd say.