For all of the love that Tampa Bay gets for drafting, they thought that Slater Koekkoek was going to be a better player than Filip Forsberg.
For me, it isn't their 1st round picks, but the guys they pick up in the later rounds.
Since 2009 - they've whiffed on a lot of first round picks, but they picked up a lot of guys beyond the 1st round that have made contributions:
Richard Panik (2nd round)
Radko Gudas (3rd round)
Nikita Kucherov (2nd round)
Ondrej Palat (7th round)
Cedric Paquette (4th round pick)
Brayden Point (3rd round pick)
Anthony Cirelli (3rd round) and Mathieu Joseph (4th round) are contributing. That's a pretty good track record; they also have made a significant amount of trades. Some good, some bad, but they get value.
Now, the question is - are they drafting well or are they developing well?