NFL: NFC playoff race

[Marc the Habs Fan]

Division leaders
1. NO 6-2
2. SEA 6-2
3. GB 6-2
4. PHI 3-4-1

Wild Card teams
5. TB 6-3
6. ARZ 5-3
7. LA 5-3

IN THE HUNT
CHI 5-4
SF 4-5
MIN 3-5
DET 3-5

Because the NFC Least exists:
WFT 2-6
DAL 2-7
NYG 2-7

Click to read more...

 

[StreetHawk]

Gut says Philly takes the East. NO just swept TB so they should take the South. North still going GB due to QB. West, still taking the flawed Seattle team.
WC, TB, LAR and then it’s down to AZ and Chicago IMO. SF too many injuries to contend for a WC now.

 

[Glenn Isildur Healy]

Gut says Philly takes the East. NO just swept TB so they should take the South. North still going GB due to QB. West, still taking the flawed Seattle team.
WC, TB, LAR and then it’s down to AZ and Chicago IMO. SF too many injuries to contend for a WC now.

I'm not sure about the Rams being a playoff team
Rest of their schedule includes Seahawks twice, Cardinals twice, and the Bucs. Even their games against the Patriots and 49ers aren't locks. Only easy team they face are the Jets.

I wouldn't count out the Vikings yet. Their schedule gets easier now. I think their 2 games against the Bears may end up determining their playoff chances.

 

[Islay1989]

NFC East is just amazing. Is there any team from the other 3 divisions you wouldn't bet on, on leading that division if they somehow swap with any of the East teams? That division has 2 wins and 1 tie against the rest of the NFL. Those two wins are Eagles against 49ers with Mulles at QB and that Boys-Falcons game.

 

[misterchainsaw]

AFTER WEEK 9:
1. New Orleans - 6-2 (Holds Conference Record tiebreaker over SEA and GB)
2. Seattle - 6-2 (Holds Conference Record tiebreaker over GB)
3. Green Bay - 6-2
4. Philadelphia - 3-4-1
5. Tampa Bay - 6-3
6. Arizona - 5-3 (Holds Divisional Record tiebreaker over LAR)
7. LA Rams - 5-3
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
8. Chicago - 5-4
9. San Francisco - 4-5
10 Minnesota - 3-5 (Holds H2H tiebreaker over DET)
11. Detroit - 3-5
12. Carolina - 3-6 (Holds H2H tiebreaker over ATL)
13. Atlanta - 3-6
14. Washington - 2-6
15. Dallas - 2-7 (Holds H2H tiebreaker over NYG)
16. NY Giants - 2-7

No clinching or elimination scenarios.

The following teams control their own destiny for a division title: NO, SEA, GB, PHI, ARI, LAR, CHI
-Arizona loses control of their own destiny for the NFC West with a loss and a SEA win
-The LA Rams lose control of their own destiny for the NFC West with a loss
-Chicago loses control of their own destiny for the NFC North with a loss and a GB win.
-Washington gains control of their own destiny for the NFC East with a win and a PHI loss. (LOL)

The following teams control their own destiny for a playoff spot: NO, SEA, GB, PHI, TB, ARI, LAR, CHI, MIN
-Chicago loses control of a playoff birth with a loss, TB win, ARI win and a GB win
-Minnesota loses control of a playoff birth with a loss
-Philadelphia loses control of a wild card spot with a loss but will still control their own destiny for the NFC East
-San Francisco gains control of a playoff birth with a win, SEA loss, and an ARI loss
-Detroit gains control of a playoff birth with a win and any of a SF loss, SEA loss, or a TB loss

 

[misterchainsaw]

This conference isn't near as fun with Chicago and San Fran tailing off. But lookout for Minnesota! They continue to control their own destiny thanks to H2H games against playoff teams later in the year.

AFTER WEEK 10
1. Green Bay - 7-2 (Owns H2H tiebreaker vs. NO)
2. New Orleans - 7-2
3. Arizona - 6-3 (Holds H2H tiebreaker over SEA and Division Record tiebreaker over LAR)
4. Philadelphia - 3-5-1
5. Tampa Bay - 7-3
6. LA Rams - 6-3 (Holds H2H tiebreaker over SEA)
7. Seattle - 6-3
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
8. Chicago - 5-5
9. Minnesota - 4-5 (Holds H2H tiebreaker over DET)
10. Detroit - 4-5
11. San Francisco - 4-6
12. Atlanta - 3-6
13. NY Giants - 3-7 (Holds conference record tiebreaker over CAR)
14. Carolina - 3-7
15. Washington - 2-7 (Hoolds H2H tiebreaker over DAL)
16. Dallas - 2-7

NO CLINCHING SCENARIOS

ELIMINATION SCENARIOS:
- Carolina is eliminated from contention in the NFC South with a loss and a NO or TB win

The following teams control their own destiny for a division title: GB, NO, ARI, PHI, LAR, SEA
- Arizona loses control of their own destiny for the NFC West with a loss.
- Seattle loses control of their own destiny for the NFC West with a loss.
- Chicago gains control of their own destiny for the NFC North with a GB loss.

The following teams control their own destiny for a playoff spot: GB, NO, ARI, PHI, TB, LAR, SEA, MIN, DET
- Minnesota loses control of their own destiny with a loss.
- Detroit loses control of their own destiny with a loss.
- Chicago gains control of their own destiny with a GB loss (for the NFC North) OR with a LAR loss (wild card)

 

[Blitzkrug]

Minnesota's schedule is doable down the stretch.

Dallas, Carolina, Chicago again, Tampa, Jacksonville, New Orleans and Detroit.

Realistically they'll probably have to go at minimum 6-1 to even have a shot. Tall order but certainly doable as i said especially with the Saints being so up and down

 

[Shockmaster]

Minnesota's schedule is doable down the stretch.

Dallas, Carolina, Chicago again, Tampa, Jacksonville, New Orleans and Detroit.

Realistically they'll probably have to go at minimum 6-1 to even have a shot. Tall order but certainly doable as i said especially with the Saints being so up and down

I think they're gonna need Seattle to fall apart down the stretch to have any chance of getting in.

 

[misterchainsaw]

The NFC West still has a lot of games against each other (Rams vs Cards X2, and the Seahawks still have the Rams and Cards left). It won't take more than a couple losses outside the division for one of those teams to drop off. Certainly the odds of any one of those 3 going 3-4 individually the rest of the way isn't great, but there's definitely a chance one of them does (maybe 30-40%?)

 

[Halladay]

Think the Vikings could potentially make it. The Rams already played all 4 NFC east teams. It will be tough though. Also have to take into account they will expand the playoffs to 8 if a bunch of meaningful games arent played due to covid.

 

[member 157595]

I see the Vikings ending up in mediocrity, not bad enough for a high pick but not good enough for the playoffs.

Sounds about right.

 

[BKIslandersFan]

Minnesota's schedule is doable down the stretch.

Dallas, Carolina, Chicago again, Tampa, Jacksonville, New Orleans and Detroit.

Realistically they'll probably have to go at minimum 6-1 to even have a shot. Tall order but certainly doable as i said especially with the Saints being so up and down

Hell they could beat Tampa too. Unlikely but far from impossible.

 

[Avs_19]

The Vikings screwed themselves with the 1-5 start and probably won't make it but it's still crazy they're even in the mix and have a path to the playoffs. They'll also probably blow at least one of the games people are penciling in as wins.

Zimmer was getting fired by everyone after the Falcons game and now he has the defense top 10 in DVOA. A defense that's missing Hunter, Barr, Pierce, and traded Ngakoue. They're having to pull players from practice squads/waivers because of injuries to their already inexperienced CBs. Jeff Gladney, Kris Boyd, and Chris Jones have played at CB the last two games.

 

[Avs_19]

The Vikings screwed themselves with the 1-5 start and probably won't make it but it's still crazy they're even in the mix and have a path to the playoffs. They'll also probably blow at least one of the games people are penciling in as wins.

Zimmer was getting fired by everyone after the Falcons game and now he has the defense top 10 in DVOA. A defense that's missing Hunter, Barr, Pierce, and traded Ngakoue. They're having to pull players from practice squads/waivers because of injuries to their already inexperienced CBs. Jeff Gladney, Kris Boyd, and Chris Jones have played at CB the last two games.

Easy call. It was inevitable. They're mathematically still in it but I think we can go ahead and cross them off now.

 

[Marc the Habs Fan]

Division leaders
1. NO 8-2
2. LA 7-3
3. GB 7-3
4. PHI 3-6-1

Wild Card teams
5. SEA 7-3
6. TB 7-4
7. ARZ 6-4

IN THE HUNT
CHI 5-5
MIN 4-6
DET 4-6

Because the NFC Least exists:
NYG 3-7
WFT 3-7
DAL 3-7

1 thing to keep an eye on: Tampa still has to play the Lions and Vikings and lost to the Bears. I am not saying the Bucs are going to miss the playoffs but if/when they lose to KC and fall to 7-5, they will be opening the door.

 

[Blitzkrug]

Tampa might swing the door open but i seriously doubt any of those three trash can teams still in the hunt are going to walk through it.

Chicago shouldn't even be 5-5, Detroit will likely be put out of their misery on thursday and the Vikings will almost assuredly blow another winnable game down the stretch.

One of them or Arizona is going to get in on a 9-7 record because the rest of the teams behind them suck ass.

 

[misterchainsaw]

And the Bears regain control of their own destiny for the NFC North title thanks to their 2 remaining matchups with the Packers. That could (and probably will) end quickly though, as the first of those two matchups is this week. Real chance there's a two game gap between 7th and 8th after this week, with Arizona playing New England.

AFTER WEEK 11
1. New Orleans - 8-2
2. LA Rams - 7-3 (Holds Conference Record tiebreaker over GB)
3. Green Bay - 7-3
4. Philadelphia - 3-6-1
5. Seattle - 7-3
6. Tampa Bay - 7-4
7. Arizona - 6-4
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
8. Chicago - 5-5
9. Minnesota - 4-6 (Holds H2H tiebreaker over Detroit and Conference Record tiebreaker over SF)
10. Detroit - 4-6 (Holds Conference Record tiebreaker over SF)
11. San Francisco - 4-6
12. Carolina - 4-7
13. NY Giants - 3-7 (Holds H2H tiebreaker over DAL and WSH and Conference Record tiebreaker over ATL)
14. Washington - 3-7 (Holds H2H tiebreaker over DAL and Conference Record tiebreaker over ATL)
15. Dallas - 3-7 (Holds Conference Record tiebreaker over ATL)
16. Atlanta - 3-7

NO CLINCHING SCENARIOS

ELIMINATION SCENARIOS:
- Atlanta is eliminated from NFC South contention with a loss and a NO win
- Carolina is eliminated from NFC South contention with a loss

The following teams control their own destiny for a division title: NO, LAR, GB, PHI, SEA, CHI, DAL
- Philadelphia loses control of their own destiny in the NFC North with a loss and a NYG win.
- Dallas loses control of their own destiny in the NFC North with a loss
- Seattle loses control of their own destiny in the NFC West with a loss and either a LAR or ARI win.
- Chicago loses control of their own destiny in the NFC North with a loss.
- Arizona gains control of their own destiny in the NFC West with a win and a SEA loss
- NY Giants gain control of their own destiny in the NFC East with a win and a PHI loss
- Washington gains control of their own destiny in the NFC East with a win and a NYG loss

The following teams control their own destiny for a playoff spot: NO, LAR, GB, PHI*, SEA, TB, ARI, CHI*, DAL* (*-controls destiny for division title only)
- Minnesota gains control of their own destiny with a win and a TB loss



-

 

[Marc the Habs Fan]

Division leaders
1. NO 9-2
2. SEA 8-3
3. GB 8-3
4. NYG 4-7

Wild Card teams
5. LAR 7-4
6. TB 7-5
7. ARZ 6-5

IN THE HUNT
MIN 5-6
CHI 5-6
DET 4-7

Because the NFC Least exists:
WFT 4-7
PHI 3-7-1
DAL 3-8

 

[Blitzkrug]

Even with their craptastic record, Minnesota might actually be in the driver's seat for that 7th seed. Arizona's a very inconsistent team and their schedule is about to get a whole lot tougher.

Cardinals remaining games; Rams x2, Niners, Giants, Philly

Vikings remaining games: Jaguars, Bears, Lions, Saints, Bucs

Minnesota has maybe one game in there that's a tall order (Saints, but even then they love to troll the Saints) whereas the Cardinals have 3, with their defense making even the Giants a team that can't sleep on

 

[darko]

Wait why are there 3 wildcard teams?

 

[Rhaegar Targaryen]

Even with their craptastic record, Minnesota might actually be in the driver's seat for that 7th seed. Arizona's a very inconsistent team and their schedule is about to get a whole lot tougher.

Cardinals remaining games; Rams x2, Niners, Giants, Philly

Vikings remaining games: Jaguars, Bears, Lions, Saints, Bucs

Minnesota has maybe one game in there that's a tall order (Saints, but even then they love to troll the Saints) whereas the Cardinals have 3, with their defense making even the Giants a team that can't sleep on

If the Niners are considered a tall order how aren’t the Bucs?

 

[sigma six]

I agree, now that they're getting guys back it's not hard to picture the Niners catching up. Brutal division anyways....

 

[misterchainsaw]

San Francisco could still very well end up something like 7-9 (which won't be good enough) or 8-8 (which is still somewhat of a long range scenario with their conf. record). Yeah they have the Cowboys and WFT, but they also have the Bills, Cards (who beat them healthy once already this year), and Seahawks. Lose the two divisional games and they're in big trouble still. Certainly the Bears seem all but dead, but their schedule isn't at all daunting coming in (outside of week 17 vs GB), and Minnesota is very much alive as well if one of the current 7 in slip. It's still an uphill climb.

The division leaders have also solidified themselves, with only the Rams currently controlling their own destiny in a division they do not lead, although that could easily change next week in the cluster that is the NFC East if (when?) the Giants lose, although everyone in the NFC East will be heavy underdogs in week 13.

AFTER WEEK 12:
1. New Orleans - 9-2
2. Seattle - 8-3 (Holds Strength of Victory tiebreaker over GB)
3. Green Bay - 8-3
4. NY Giants - 4-7 (Owns H2H tiebreaker over WSH)
5. LA Rams - 7-4
6. Tampa Bay - 7-5
7. Arizona - 6-5
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
8. Minnesota - 5-6 (Holds Divisional Record tiebreaker over Chicago and Conference Record tiebreaker over SF)
9. Chicago 5-6 (Holds Conference Record tiebreaker over SF)
10. San Francisco - 5-6
11. Detroit - 4-7 (Owns H2H tiebreaker over WSH and ATL)
12. Washington - 4-7 (Holds Conference Record tiebreaker over ATL)
13. Atlanta - 4-7
14. Carolina - 4-8 (Eliminated from NFC South contention)
15. Philadelphia - 3-7-1
16. Dallas - 3-8

CLINCHING SCENARIOS
- New Orleans clinches a playoff spot with a win and a CHI loss


ELIMINATION SCENARIOS:
- Atlanta is eliminated from NFC South contention with a loss.
- Detroit is eliminated from NFC North contention with a loss.


The following teams control their own destiny for a division title: NO, SEA, GB, NYG, LAR
- The NY Giants will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC East with a loss and a WSH or PHI win
- The LA Rams will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC West with a loss and a SEA win.
- Washington will gain control of their own destiny for the NFC East with a win and a NYG loss.
- Philadelphia will gain control of their own destiny for the NFC East with a win and a NYG loss.


The following teams control their own destiny for a playoff spot: NO, SEA, GB, NYG*, LAR, TB, ARI, MIN (*-controls destiny for division title only)
- Arizona loses control of their own destiny for the playoffs with a loss and CHI win
- Minnesota loses control of their own destiny for the playoffs with a loss
- Chicago gains control of their own destiny with a win and an ARI loss
- San Francisco gains control of their own destiny with a win and a CHI loss

edit: somehow missed NO clinching. I blame the NFC being much less competitive than the AFC.

 

[member 157595]

San Francisco could still very well end up something like 7-9 (which won't be good enough) or 8-8 (which is still somewhat of a long range scenario with their conf. record). Yeah they have the Cowboys and WFT, but they also have the Bills, Cards (who beat them healthy once already this year), and Seahawks. Lose the two divisional games and they're in big trouble still. Certainly the Bears seem all but dead, but their schedule isn't at all daunting coming in (outside of week 17 vs GB), and Minnesota is very much alive as well if one of the current 7 in slip. It's still an uphill climb.

The division leaders have also solidified themselves, with only the Rams currently controlling their own destiny in a division they do not lead, although that could easily change next week in the cluster that is the NFC East if (when?) the Giants lose, although everyone in the NFC East will be heavy underdogs in week 13.

AFTER WEEK 12:
1. New Orleans - 9-2
2. Seattle - 8-3 (Holds Strength of Victory tiebreaker over GB)
3. Green Bay - 8-3
4. NY Giants - 4-7 (Owns H2H tiebreaker over WSH)
5. LA Rams - 7-4
6. Tampa Bay - 7-5
7. Arizona - 6-5
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
8. Minnesota - 5-6 (Holds Divisional Record tiebreaker over Chicago and Conference Record tiebreaker over SF)
9. Chicago 5-6 (Holds Conference Record tiebreaker over SF)
10. San Francisco - 5-6
11. Detroit - 4-7 (Owns H2H tiebreaker over WSH and ATL)
12. Washington - 4-7 (Holds Conference Record tiebreaker over ATL)
13. Atlanta - 4-7
14. Carolina - 4-8 (Eliminated from NFC South contention)
15. Philadelphia - 3-7-1
16. Dallas - 3-8

NO CLINCHING SCENARIOS


ELIMINATION SCENARIOS:
- Atlanta is eliminated from NFC South contention with a loss.
- Detroit is eliminated from NFC North contention with a loss.


The following teams control their own destiny for a division title: NO, SEA, GB, NYG, LAR
- The NY Giants will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC North with a loss and a WSH or PHI win
- The LA Rams will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC West with a loss and a SEA win.
- Washington will gain control of their own destiny for the NFC East with a win and a NYG loss.
- Philadelphia will gain control of their own destiny for the NFC East with a win and a NYG loss.


The following teams control their own destiny for a playoff spot: NO, SEA, GB, NYG*, LAR, TB, ARI, MIN (*-controls destiny for division title only)
- Arizona loses control of their own destiny for the playoffs with a loss and CHI win
- Minnesota loses control of their own destiny for the playoffs with a loss
- Chicago gains control of their own destiny with a win and an ARI loss
- San Francisco gains control of their own destiny with a win and a CHI loss

Not trying to be the typo police but I'm pretty sure the Giants have already lost control of the NFC North.

 

[misterchainsaw]

Not trying to be the typo police but I'm pretty sure the Giants have already lost control of the NFC North.

Doh! Funny thing is I caught "Detroit being eliminated from the NFC South" just before I sent it out