Being down to one team doing the chasing (Chicago) leaves this pretty simple. Chicago has strong tiebreakers, so Arizona/Tampa Bay need to stay ahead of them. The Rams can only miss the playoffs in the case of a 3 way tie between ARI/LA/CHI at 9-7 (which actually plays as ARI winning the H2H tiebreaker with LA and CHI winning the H2H tiebreaker with ARI), because otherwise LA's H2H win over Chicago comes into play. The NFC East is a little sloppier, but Washington maintains a fairly strong advantage for now, as only a loss to CAR and a NYG win over BAL takes away WSH's power to control their own destiny in week 17.
AFTER WEEK 15: (x-clinched playoff spot, y-clinched division title)
1. y-Green Bay - 11-3
2. x-New Orleans - 10-4
3. x-Seattle - 10-4
4. Washington - 6-8
5. LA Rams - 9-5 (Owns H2H tiebreaker over TB)
6. Tampa Bay - 9-5
7. Arizona - 8-6
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8. Chicago - 7-7
9. Minnesota - 6-8 (Holds Common Opponents tiebreaker over DET)
11. Dallas - 5-9 (Leads H2H tiebreaker with NYG) (Eliminated from wild card contention)
12. NY Giants- 5-9 (Eliminated from wild card contention)
13. Philadelphia - 4-9-1 (Eliminated from wild card contention)
ELIMINATED:: Atlanta (4-10), Carolina (4-10), San Francisco (5-9), Detroit (5-9)
CLINCHING SCENARIOS
- Green Bay clinches the #1 seed with a win and a SEA loss
- New Orleans clinches the NFC South with a win or a TB loss
- Seattle clinches the NFC West with a win
- Washington clinches the NFC East with a win and a NYG loss
- LA Rams clinch a wild card spot with a win, ARI win, or CHI loss
- Tampa Bay clinches a wild card spot with a win or a CHI loss
- Arizona clinches a wild card spot with a win and a CHI loss
ELIMINATION SCENARIOS:
- Chicago is eliminated with a loss and an ARI win
- Minnesota is eliminated with a loss or an ARI win
- Dallas is eliminated with a loss or a WSH win
- Philadelphia is eliminated with a loss or a WSH win
- The NY Giants are eliminated with a loss and either a PHI or WSH win
The following teams control their own destiny for a division title: GB, NO, SEA, WSH, LAR
- The NY Giants will gain control their own destiny for the NFC East with a win and a WSH loss
- Philadelphia will gain control their own destiny for the NFC East with a win, WSH loss, and NYG loss
- The loser of SEA - LAR will lose control of it's own destiny for the NFC West
The following teams control their own destiny for a playoff spot: GB, NO, LAR, WSH*, SEA, TB, ARI (*-controls destiny for division title only)
- Arizona will lose control of their own destiny for a playoff spot with a loss and a CHI win
- Chicago will gain control of their own destiny for a playoff spot with a win and an ARI loss