Why wouldn't Kaprizov just go to arbitration, earn $6-7 mil the next year and then hit UFA and make $9-10 mil the next contract?
If he loves Minnesota or feels loyalty to the organization, that changes thing. But from a pure financial view, it doesn't really make any sense for him to sign that contract.
Because Minnesota would be offering him a surefire 7 year deal. He wouldn't have to worry about regressing or getting injured (both possible). There doesn't have to be a winner and loser when it comes to an extension. Kaprizov gets a fine deal over 7 years, Minnesota sign a 1st line winger for a little cheaper than the going rate 8-9M...
It all depends if Kaprizov is willing to leave money on the table or if he wants to go the Panarin route. However, if he doesn't have arbritation rights that could change things.
Look at the Rantanen contract
That's what he's looking at
Which would be a stumbling block to a long term deal.Seems on the high side considering he has less body of work.
Which would be a stumbling block to a long term deal.
barzal had 85 points as a 20 year old rookie behind Tavares. In years 2&3 without Tavares he produced at 0.8 ppg which would be around 65 points. He ended up with $7 mill for 3 years.
rantanen was over a ppg in years 2-3 in his elc. He got $9.25 on a long term deal.
so expected production is going to dictate the cap hit. Can the two sides come to an agreement on that first? Once you agree on that they you can structure a contract. 76 points would be his prorated pace for this past season over a full season.
will he improve on those numbers or will he remain around the same? Not every player increases their production. Tarasenko and Saad remained at the same pace as their elc pace for example.