So he’s the fourth best goal scorer over the past 25 years and that makes him one of the best ever? And if you’re doing goal per game you need to take into account that those players in their later years tailed off just like Matthews will. I’d put Brett Hull ahead of him as well and probably Stamkos.
I mean I think he’s an elite goal scorer but he’s got a long way to go before he becomes one of the all time greats imo.
I said on pace, and you can argue he's got some room for gains that will offset later year decline to some extent. Pure conjecture how much, but yes, he will see some declines the longer he plays, just like Ovie and others.
I don't care how you cut your cheese, after tonight's game he's scored 185 goals in 318 games, and his current scoring rate would put him close to Top 10 all-time both in terms of G/GP and total goals scored, assuming he plays another 12 seasons averaging .5 goals per game (he's at .582 right now), giving up 15 games per year to injury (assuming he plays 67 games per season). That puts him playing until he's 35 or 36, not 40 or something potentially unrealistic.
Who knows if he will or not, if you're placing bets it's always safer to bet against rather than for, but my point is that he has the opportunity to be a historic goal scorer, and it's not like 185 goals in 318 games is exactly a tiny sample size. Barkov doesn't look like he'll do anything close to that historic/significant in his career. Once again, I'm not saying that makes Matthews the "better" player, but it makes him a more unique and a rarer commodity. It's hard to score goals in the NHL and he clearly has a special talent that very very few do. That's not mentioning the fact that he's also a PPG+ player in his career thus far.
I get the Leafs hate, and I'm usually the last Leafs fan to "pump the tires" of Leafs players as your boy RL would say, but it's just a fact that Matthews is showing a rare, unique goal scoring skillset. Whether he keeps that up or not, who knows, but he's on pace to do something special.